Investment Q&A

Q: Would you buy this ETF at todays price or wait awhile to see if the price of oil continues to go down? Realize this is a tough call but I value your opinions. Tks, Bill

Q: Hi Folks,

Recently, CVE did a dilution bought deal for up to 1.7 bil @ 22.25 underwritten by TD and RBC. Currently holders of this deal are under water by almost a dollar. What do you make of this and from your experience when institutional holders make a bulk purchase of shares and then the shares tend lower initially, is it simply that these new shares are washing through and hence the lower price reps the increased volume. From an outsider perspective, the current price looks interesting to me with oil making a bottom formation. Thank you.

Q: Elkwater resources did a reverse stock split and changed their name to Striker .
SkX share are at 2.10 this morning. I'm confused.
Can you explain a reverse stock split and the benefits to the shareholder

Q: Your thoughts on this trade? • Sell ALA and PPL. Use ½ the proceeds to add into BTE and CPG, and the other ½ to Buy SU

Q: Do you favour the recent bought deal financing RE completed and would you buy it at this point? Thanks.

Q: Hi Guys,

I have bought Surge Energy over the past 6 months or so and I am down over 50%. One of my rules is to re-evaluate a company if it drops below 2% of my portfolio. If it stays below the 2% limit for a month, I have to invest more to get it back over 2% or sell my position. I have 2 questions:

1) Should the amount I already have invested influence me?
2) Would you buy or sell SGY today? I cannot just hold.

Thanks for your opinion.
John

Q: Hi - with the ETF - CDZ at 20% energy content, how do you view the risks to this ETF regarding these companies not being able to grow dividends in a prolonged and depressed energy environment. Does this change your outlook on CDZ as conservative, diversified dividend-grower ETF in Canada? Or, does this just mean CDZ cleans out the non-growers and looks elsewhere rebalancing to it's "aristocrat" rules as it moves on? Outlook and views on CDZ appreciated. cheers and thanks...

Q: I hold ERF ENB AND VET in my RRSP. Each holding is 5%. Otherwise the portfolio is diversified. I am concerned that ERF is unlikely to recover and (if you agree with TD and DesJardins outlook) I would select an alternative holding to replace ERF or to increase ENB and VET holdings. Please comment. Greg

Q: Stocks such as SES, TOT, PSI and BDI have moved substantially (admittedly in relative terms only) off their lows, which is a bit of a head scratcher. As far as you know are there one or two of these kinds of companies that stand to benefit should the push for LNG occur? Which is, or are, your preferred names in the sector, and why? Thanks as always.

Q: First question from an old mining guy. If you assume,as I do,that the next situation faced (after dividend and capex cuts) for Canadian oil producers will be re-statements of reserves and resources,who's on the casualty list? In other words, have you done a sensitivity analysis to see who's reserves drop from "14 years" to "5 years" at $50 oil?

Q: I'd like to know what your current view is on MCR. In response to a question I posed on Dec 9/14 the answer was "Macro had a very tough year; even before the recent energy sector meltdown, it experienced cost overruns on a fixed cost project, and this destroyed its profit margins. Now, sector retrenchment means there will likely be fewer opportunities for growth over the next two years. But.....it is still profitable, and very cheap. It has some debt, which may be more of a concern if there is not a recovery. After its big drop, we would consider it a hold, but would not buy any more. Note however that its small size now adds some more risks, especially in the short term while the sector tries to stabilize. We think it survives this cycle, but you will likely need to commit to it for another two years."
Yet, in a response to another persons question on Jan 16/15 you respond: "...Both stocks are very, very cheap, reflecting the debt and the sector. As far as survivability goes, much depends on how long the sector situation lasts. MCR, likely, has a better ability to reduce costs, as CET owns its equipment and when business slows it earns nothing on unused equipment. MCR insiders have much more skin in the game than CET insiders.

With the risk of the dividend cut hurting CET, we would reluctantly side with MCR today. But neither looks particularly interesting to us anymore. "

I realize that not the same person answers questions, and there was a period of time between those questions, and now...

What is your current view? Is it worth holding, or time to sell while I can still get something out of it.

Thanks for everything! Love your service!

Q: IAE is down today. Is this a dip to buy some?

Thanks Greg

Q: Could you please recommend two Canadian oil companies that can survive the low oil price environment? I like to buy and hold them until prices go back up again. I do not really care about the dividend as long as the company can use the free cash flow to grow. Does SPE qualify? Thank you very much.

Q: I bought this stock back in Jan. 2013 @ .64 and it is now down to .6…….is there any reason to keep it …..hoping it may come back. Would appreciate any input on this company. Thanks

Q: What is your opinion of (a) Yangarra Resources ltd and
(ii) Ikkuma Resources Corp?
Are they high risk? Good growth potential? Would you consider tem a 'strong buy'? OR would rather buy SPE.to?
Thanks

Q: Since I am down about 50% on Surge am wondering if I should buy more to reduce my costs or go somewhere else like ATD or Parkland Fuel. Opinion please Thanks. Ernie

Q: As they have reported better results than expected does that make the shares seem cheap at this level and are they a buy at this price?

Q: What are your thoughts on this stock.

Q: What is your take on the results and why the drop .. Should I add on this pull back ... Thx

Q: I am thinking that the oil glut is a lot larger than prices are indicating. I base on the very unscientific observation that even with the record long term freezing temperatures in the US, the price of oil seems to actually be dropping(although apparently heating oil is up). In the past, again based only only my recollections, a weekend of cold weather seemed to cause a spike in the price of oil.

I am therefore left wondering if there is too much optimism in oil prices and are we really looking at an extreme glut? Or is all this quite quantifiable and the market probably has it right?

Thanks.

Paul F.