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Investment Q&A

Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.

Q: I am considering adding an oil producer (WCP) to my portfolio which has 2% invested in PEY, TOU, & VET. My thinking is that if the break-even for most North American producers is $70- 90.00, and even the Saudi's are at $27/bl, then $47.00 is not sustainable. The big question is how long the price stays low.
Would you recommend starting to add WCP and building over the coming months or are there indicators you would want to see before making the investment.
Many thanks
Mike
Read Answer Asked by michael on July 28, 2015
Q: Hello Good People,
I just received notice that CDI and TDG are going to be one. The offer is $5.90 per CDI share or approx 1.0631 TDG shares, which one should I accept. Many thanks for help.
Bob.
Read Answer Asked by Robert on July 28, 2015
Q: Although my exposure to oil is manageable, I have accumulated over time various small positions in oil related companies such as: cos, bxe, rmp, cfl, bdi, frc, sgy, bte. I am trying to consolidate into only a few names going forward but was wondering if any of those name are now outright sell. With the current selloff I am either even or down on the names. Thank you.
Read Answer Asked by Pierre on July 28, 2015
Q: Hello Peter & 5i team,
I have reduced my exposure to energy producers last fall to 5% of my portfolio (TOU,VET and WCP) and I'm not giving up the ghost, yet.
I had also reduced my exposure to pipelines and mid streams to 10% of my portfolio (ALA,ENB,IPL,KEY and PPL) and wish to reduce it to 5%. I could reduce the weight of each holding or keep only 3; which 3 do you suggest I keep?
Thanks,
Antoine
Read Answer Asked by Antoine on July 27, 2015
Q: I would like to know what valuation model could be used for an early stage exploration company that has not booked any reserves. I am looking at some old analyst reports and they are using a Net Asset Value model and assigning Chance of Geological Success as high as 25-35% on some wells. How would one come up with a realistic CoGS number in this case. Nuttall says CoGS should be 3% so now my range is between 3%-35%. Can I just put in the mid?
Read Answer Asked by Kreshnik on July 27, 2015
Q: I would like your thoughts on COS. This company should logically get taken out as it owns a stake in Syncrude and nothing else. With there debt load and oil below 50 dollars do you think this increases the chances of that happening? THANKS
Read Answer Asked by John on July 27, 2015
Q: I never thought Oil would of went this far down. I am under water on most but not all. My percentage of oil is at 12.98% of my portfolio. My stocks are BNE, BTE, CPG, FRU, HWO, PGF, SGY, PER.US and SBR.US Just curious should I keep all or some of these. Like Rod L some days I feel like just throwing in the towle on these stocks and move on. Is 12.98 too high and if I should trim. Which ones should I trim Thanks.

Jimmy
Read Answer Asked by Jimmy on July 27, 2015
Q: It would appear high production of oil by OPEC and the US is successfully driving down the price of oil. Can you tell what the end game is here, is there an overt pending event that we can monitor that they are driving the market to? If prices are not set by the market, but at the will of foreign entities, why are we investing in Oil Companies?
Read Answer Asked by Phil on July 27, 2015
Q: Hello,

Would you considered this two equivalent in terms of future potential? If not do you have a another one?
I am considering selling TOR (for tax reasons) and buying VII?

Thank you
M
Read Answer Asked by Marios on July 27, 2015
Q: I keep wondering if exchanging these 3 increasingly weakening positions for alternate positions with more optimistic horizons might be a more prudent move. What sage advice might your team have? As well, are you holding steady with Whitecap? I have difficulty in seeing the oil market with any upside over the next couple of years....
Read Answer Asked by Claus on July 27, 2015
Q: Can you please take a look at this company. Could you tell me what your views are based on the most recent contracts awarded and the backlog. Looking at the charts and financials this company looks less expensive than many other in the sector. If the current price looks expensive to you, could you share what metrics you would look at for selecting a purchase price. Thank you Jason N.
Read Answer Asked by JASON on July 24, 2015
Q: At $20 Crescent Point seems pretty beaten up. Even given the dividend and oil price risk do you view it as a pretty solid buy right now?
Read Answer Asked by Curtis on July 24, 2015
Q: With the continued discussion in the financial media about a recession or not a recession in Canada and a Bank of Canada governor who at any opportunity talks down the CAD and does whatever to lower it, this has certainly heightened the negative sentiment on everything Canadian. Is the time yet here that the risk/return ratio for investing in energy and or pipeline stocks now favourable and would a company like BNP with a healthy dividend and good management be a decent investment?
Read Answer Asked by Rudy on July 24, 2015
Q: Hello Peter and Co.:
If you were to suggest one oil stock to buy today for a 2-3 year hold what would it be? I'm looking at VET or WCP but maybe you like a different one.
My only other energy holding right now apart from IPL and PPL (utilities?), is PEY, which I intend to hold onto and possibly add to at these levels.
I could be wrong, but I can't see there's much downside to Canadian energy companies right now. Getting paid around 6% to wait a year or so for the recovery seems like a pretty good deal to me.
Buy low and sell high is the thing to do, we all know that, but actually DOING it is extremely hard because it feels like the completely wrong thing to do! In my limited experience managing my investments, it seems that doing the complete opposite of what feels good generally leads to success...

Would love your take on this.

Thanks for all your excellent advice over the past couple of years.
Read Answer Asked by Andrew on July 24, 2015
Q: please compare these including debt/cashflows and your 1-2-3 preference in this market
Read Answer Asked by don on July 23, 2015
Q: Hello looking for some energy exposure considering
XEG
OXF
HEE
ZEO
IF YOU HAD TO PICK ONLY ONE WHICH WOULD BE YOUR CHOICE i AM LEANING TOWARDS XEG
Thnks
Rod
Read Answer Asked by rodney on July 23, 2015
Q: Hi 5i advisory team. I already have WCP and am thinking of adding to the sector as it is pretty beaten up. Which one would you add between CPG and ARX? Taking into consideration the location of the resources (Alberta or elsewhere), relative weight beween gas and oil and, finally management style? Balance sheet? Thanks Henry
Read Answer Asked by Henry on July 23, 2015
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