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Investment Q&A

Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.

Q: Peter, I have virtually no investment in oil and gas. But what goes down, must go up. (I think...maybe) If I was to start a minor position now in an energy company and add to it over time on the dips, which name would you recommend?
Read Answer Asked by Barry on December 17, 2015
Q: Could I have your take on Birchcliff. Is it profitable in this environment, and would you think it will survive this low gas price if there is no LNG connection in the future?

As always, thanks

Read Answer Asked by John on December 17, 2015
Q: I was thinking about buying some Ceiba Energy as I do not have any Energy exposure. Can you tell me what the debt situation is, and is this in line with this size of company in the energy sector. A guest on BNN said that the EBITDA is increasing every quarter and this was a screaming buy. Is the EBITDA increasing and do you think it is a good buy candidate? I am ok with the small market cap of this company. In your opinion is this a company that can survive another 15% drop in energy that may last 12 months? Once tax loss selling is over, is this a stock that should outperform the broader energy sector on an energy bounce?

Thanks as always and Happy Holidays
Darcy
Read Answer Asked by Darcy on December 17, 2015
Q: Western Canada Properties - almost as unloved as oil and gas. PE is 4.4 trailing, 7.7 forward. 4.71% yield with 27% payout ratio and yet stock has fallen from $19.90 in March to $12.74 today. Seems like a great buy, get paid to wait until the the oil pendulum starts swinging the other way. Whats you're thoughts
Read Answer Asked by Lloyd on December 17, 2015
Q: I would like to wish the team all of the very best during the holiday season. I hope you will have a well-deserved rest and relaxation and renewal. As no one could have predicted the fall in oil, i like many others have suffered loses. Happily many gains, too! So, I have difficulty understanding some people's complaints on here from time to time. That is the market! I don't believe that there is a comparable service to yours which offers so much for so little. I don't believe there is any other place where you can even ask questions like this and get an intelligent answer so quickly. I find it an amazing service. And I know many others do to. But, onto the question: I am planning to sell sgy for tax loss selling and was wondering whether you thought Whitecap might be a suitable replacement?
Read Answer Asked by joseph on December 17, 2015
Q: Hi Peter
I'm still holding a small position in Bellatrix at $3.00. At the current price of $1.35 would consider it still too risky, or do you think there could be some upside?
Thanks for this wonderful service and best wishes to you and your staff and families for the coming holidays. And, dare I say it, Merry Christmas.
GUY R
Read Answer Asked by Guy R. on December 16, 2015
Q: Peter, crude oil is below $40 but yet the gasoline price near where I live in Toronto is still around $1/litre. This gasoline price is the same as when oil was around $80 or so. What am I missing? Why the gasoline price doesn't come down. Thanks for the insights.
Read Answer Asked by Iskandar on December 15, 2015
Q: Pure spec play. If one had some money and was going to risk some on betting oil goes back to $100.00 in the next year what is the most pure way to do this in Canadian dollars on the Toronto Stock Market? Buy a company or is the an ETF out there? This question is for my brother. I do not believe oil bounces back that high in a year. I also found this blog dated this July.

http://blog.modernadvisor.ca/the-best-oil-etf-choices/

Thanks Jimmy
Read Answer Asked by Jimmy on December 15, 2015
Q: I am a bit surprised that there isn't more talk about the potential effect of lifting the U.S. oil export ban on WTI pricing, and of course, by extension, on Canadian oil. My thinking is that it narrows the gap between Brent and WTI favourably for WTI. I have read the recent EIA report which suggests the effect will likely be fairly neutral but I wonder what your thoughts are and if you know of any good links on the subject. Thank-you very much.
Read Answer Asked by Alex on December 14, 2015
Q: Please provide your general insights about this company, the insider ownership levels and the quality of the stewardship, thank you.
Read Answer Asked by MG on December 14, 2015
Q: Peter et al.

With the current OPEC decision to raise the production ceiling to their current production level of 31.5M BOPD what is your current viewpoint of a timeline for a turnaround. We have had the following occur:
1. $200B worth of capital shelved worldwide in 2015 and it expected to be the same for 2016.
2. Rig counts at their lowest since 2010.
3. Production starting to decline in the US to about 8.7M BOPD
4. Inventories still at record highs of 487M barrels in the US.

When will these reductions start to appear. Heavy Oil in Canada has never made any sense to me economically as it gets a lower price (~$15 less than WTI) and it costs more per barrel to produce. It is impossible for non-Opec counties to reduce production because they are privately run so OPEC expecting this is impossible. This is reminding me of 1998 - 99. The worst part is I am heavily invested in the oil industry percentage wise and also it is where I work as well. What should I expect?

Thanks,

Brendan
Read Answer Asked by Brendan on December 14, 2015
Q: Hello Peter
I can't believe the price for some of these stocks,the banks, the pipelines, etc. etc. There are so many of them.
If one has some cash, is it better to wait for better opportunity or buy and collect the dividend and wait.
RRSP and TFSA season will soon be upon us. Is the world coming to an end or is this just a good buying opportunity.
If there was a sale like this at Best Buy or Apple Store or other major department stores, we would be running there in an instant. You understand these thing better than I do. What is your opinion? Would you wait or buy??
Merry Christmas to you all.
Read Answer Asked by Jean on December 14, 2015
Q: In light of current oil prices,how safe is the dividend ? What is their payout ratio.
Thanks,
Phil
Read Answer Asked by Philip on December 14, 2015
Q: What do you think of Torc at today's prices? It's my only holding in O & G right now, at 2.8% of my portfolio, down from 5% because of the beating it's taking with the rest of the sector. Is this a good time to add ... or is it a good time to sit on my hands? I would only take it back up to 5%. If I did this, I would be selling my position in Diversified Royalty. Any thoughts on this move? Thanks for your help!
Read Answer Asked by Sylvia on December 13, 2015