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Investment Q&A

Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.

Q: Hello Peter et al:

What would you expect the share price to do if the 50%+1 vote is not achieved on April 20th? If Delek are serious about the deal would they increase the offer? There has been no word from the institutions on whether they are going to accept or reject the offer. Would it be wise to sell now and take the $1.92 and buy back in if the deal falls through if the price goes down on rejection of the deal? Any advice on possible scenarios here would be appreciated. My money in Ithaca at the moment is dead money and the difference between the $1.95 and current $1.92 is only 1.5% or so. Is it worth the risk because even if you tender your shares for Apr 20th and it does not go through you will not get your $1.95.

Regards,

Brendan
Read Answer Asked by Brendan on March 29, 2017
Q: Keystone gets go ahead from Trump. Realize line won't be completed until 2019.I expect good for the future for Canadian Companies and Alberta Gov't. What Companies will benefit in Canada, drillers, other pipelines feeding into TRP, tar sand companies SU. What other Canadian Oil Producers and Service Companies. Thanks Bob

Railways will get a hit that transport oil and RR car
manufacturers that produce oil tankers. Will this effect Burlington Northern and Mr. Buffet I understand cost to ship oil from Canada by Rail is $ 15.00 a barrel. Is that correct ? Thanks Bob
Read Answer Asked by bob on March 27, 2017
Q: Hi Peter, Ryan and all,

I am a rational DIY investor who adheres to the diversity mantra but I am considering a slightly radical move. Here's the thesis, which is about energy: at the beginning of the year my oil and gas exposure - 6 stocks, all solid choices - was already on the light side at about 8% of my portfolio. Just shy of 1/4 through the year they are down a cumulative 10% (9% including dividends). My thinking is that:

a) global demand will be flat-ish, as non renewable energy sources gradually gain strength, off setting increasing demands elsewhere.

b) it's somewhat amazing that the OPEC production cut is holding but I'm not confident that it will long term, which could lead to the spigots being turned on full blast again.

c) technological gains mean a decreasing cost to extract every last drop of oil, as evidenced by the Americans in the Permian Basin and elsewhere.

Bottom line is I'm not buying the global oil inventory coming into balance scenario meaning further pressure on prices. That 8% of my portfolio figure is now 7.1% and dropping. Contrary to oil I have been knocking it out of the park on the tech side - 10% of the portfolio - with NVDA, SHOP, KXS, OTEX and AT and am considering getting right out of energy and deploying that 7% into tech and healthcare.

I am well represented in all other sectors except materials - don't like the volatility - so would then be skipping two sectors.

I know this is a deeply personal investing decision but your thoughts are appreciated conceptually.

Thanks!


Read Answer Asked by Kim on March 27, 2017
Q: I have owned Savanna Energy Services (SVY) for several years. There are two takeover offers for this stock. The three choices I have for my stock are:
a) tender my shares to Western Energy (.85 shares of Western and $.21 cash offered per SVY share).
b) tender my shares to Total Energy (.13 shares of Total and $.20 cash offered per SVY share).
c) do not tender my shares
In your opinion, what is the best choice.
Read Answer Asked by David on March 27, 2017
Q: The above companies are on my watch list. Valuations have come off a lot this year and I think there is an opportunity. Which of these do you see the most potential in?

Thanks

Chris
Read Answer Asked by Chris on March 24, 2017