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Investment Q&A

Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.

Q: I hold several oil and gas exploration & production (E&P) companies. On every one of them I have significant losses, as many people do. I also have two oil refiners: VLO and MPC. I am shocked to see capital gains on both. Do oil refiners not move down when oil prices go down? I didn't see CONSISTENT correlation so I suspect I may be doing something wrong. Thus I seek your insight and deep, deep thoughts. Are both these companies just refineries? Or do they have some exploration and production in their operations ?
Would you continue to hold MPC and VLO ? If you wanted to realize cash for deployment elsewhere, which one (IF ANY) would you sell-- and WHY please.
Thank you
Read Answer Asked by Adam on November 15, 2017
Q: I am a retired, conservative, dividend-income investor. I normally would describe myself as a "buy and hold" investor, using a "trim and add" strategy that has served me well over the years. I am also aware that one should expect roughly a third of one's stock picks to not work out, although my track record is better than that.

The quandary I am in relates to PEY. Great stock, good management, nice dividend, however poor capital appreciation since I bought in Nov '16. My current allocation to energy is 10% of my equity portfolio. Fortunately PEY has only a small weighting (<2%).

Question 1 = I am down roughly 45% including dividends. We are now in tax loss selling season, so expect some more downside to PEY. I could definitely use the capital loss, to offset significant capital gains this year. Sell now, wait 30 days, rebuy?

Q2 = There is also the "trapped due to no pipeline access" theory...any light to shed on this? If PEY is trapped, is this worth rebuying, until the pipeline issue is remedied? If I wanted to replace PEY with another dividend payer = any suggestions for those that are not "trapped"?

Q3 = I see the average 1 year target price is $27---based on what?

Again, I usually hold for the long term...eventually good stocks work their way through these things...not sure this time. Your thoughts please.

Thanks...Steve
Read Answer Asked by Stephen on November 15, 2017
Q: Greetings 5i,

CVE CEO regarding the Weyburn sale stated “Net proceeds from the Weyburn asset sale, combined with the other three divestitures announced earlier this fall, will position us to retire the entire $3.6 billion bridge facility associated with the ConocoPhillips asset purchase by the end of 2017.”

Additionally Soros Fund Management took a 1.2 million share position on CVE on tuesday?

What are your thoughts?

Cheers!
Read Answer Asked by Duane on November 15, 2017
Q: I own the above energy stocks which mostly seem to still be languishing even with higher oil prices. Do you think this is a good time to buy more of any of these or is the market expecting another downturn in energy?
Read Answer Asked by Maria on November 14, 2017
Q: Hello good 5i people,
I haven't owned any energy stocks for years. But I would like to add some. Could you recommend 3-4 top picks in the sector for long term growth?

Thx,
Mike
Read Answer Asked by Mike on November 13, 2017
Q: I have held Surge Energy for a good while and I am currently down about 45% on it. It is about 2.5% of my portfolio. My only other energy holding is SDX which currently is about 3% of my portfolio. I am thinking about selling Surge and going into SDX as it has more momentum even though it has higher risk. Surge released their earnings to not much hooplah. I like the dividend with Surge and the oil price has been increasing as it seasonly does during this time of year usually. Will Surge get any momentum with this oil price or should I take advantage of a company that is going to get $12/Mscf in Morocco and over $3/Mscf in Egypt?

Regards,

Brendan

P.s. I now took my winnings from Ithaca and follow your Balanced Portfolio plus a few other stocks. Thanks for the website and I love the additions.
Read Answer Asked by Brendan on November 13, 2017
Q: Can you please provide comment on PONY’s third quarter results and the deal that was sig Ed with Methanex. Overall the markets seemed to have liked it. I have a half position and am considering purchasing more.

Thanks, Gerald
Read Answer Asked by Gerald on November 10, 2017
Q: Please comment on Inter Pipe quarterly results. Also, it has been 3 months since your blog piece on the Canadian pipeline companies. In light of the most recent quarterly results and guidance from the companies please indicate how your investment summary for these companies may differ from your view in August. Do any of the players look stronger/weaker in light of recent information?
Read Answer Asked by Robert on November 10, 2017