Q: Peter; Eric is on the BNN soap box and he is always talking about stocks trading at “ 10-15% free cash flow”. How does this relate to the actual dividend yield and why is it so an important benchmark ? With tax loss selling looming wouldn’t any oil rally be drowned out by sellers? Thanks . Rod
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Investment Q&A
Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.
- Suncor Energy Inc. (SU)
- Veren Inc. (VRN)
- ARC Resources Ltd. (ARX)
- Vermilion Energy Inc. (VET)
- Parex Resources Inc. (PXT)
- Whitecap Resources Inc. (WCP)
- Freehold Royalties Ltd. (FRU)
- Kelt Exploration Ltd. (KEL)
Q: Good Morning 5i,
So on this fine Friday long weekend morning, I'd like to pick the brains of people who've "been there and done that" much longer and more successfully than I, and have seen some things in the financial world first hand that I have not.
I want your opinion on oil and gas. Are we not watching one of these classic "blood in the streets" scenarios you always read about as investors and wish you'd had the fortitude to plug your nose and dive in? The shares of almost every publicly traded company in the space are being thrown away for nothing. The good ones, the bad ones, the ones making money, the ones losing money, good balance sheets, bad balance sheets - it's almost irrelevant. If they're in the space they're being slaughtered.
So if the thesis is:
a) it will take a lot longer to power the world with worm casings, pixie dust, and unicorn farts than some would have us believe (i.e. hydrocarbons are not going anywhere in the foreseeable future)
b) a surprising number of these companies have solid balance sheets
c) a surprising number of these companies are earning profits hand over fist, doom and gloom aside
If a, b, and c are indeed true, you'd have to believe a lot of these companies trading at historic lows will eventually make investors a lot of money. Like buying Florida real estate in 2009.
What am I missing? What holes can be shot in this thesis, looking at it objectively?
I take the point that there is no catalyst to change things or excite investors in this space (although I do get surprised from time to time that the fact that a company can throw off ridiculous amounts of profit and return it to shareholders via dividends and buybacks doesn't itself become a catalyst, but I digress...)
I also take the point that these scenarios can persist for a lot longer than people think they can before things change.
Single-company risk is always there, I understand that, but I reject the idea that all of these companies are headed for bankruptcy.
Aside from patience and the stomach to watch your investment get hammered in the short term - where exactly are the risks?? This seems like such a great buying opportunity that I feel I have to be missing something.
Thank you for whatever insight you can share, and happy long weekend to you and your families!
Ryan
So on this fine Friday long weekend morning, I'd like to pick the brains of people who've "been there and done that" much longer and more successfully than I, and have seen some things in the financial world first hand that I have not.
I want your opinion on oil and gas. Are we not watching one of these classic "blood in the streets" scenarios you always read about as investors and wish you'd had the fortitude to plug your nose and dive in? The shares of almost every publicly traded company in the space are being thrown away for nothing. The good ones, the bad ones, the ones making money, the ones losing money, good balance sheets, bad balance sheets - it's almost irrelevant. If they're in the space they're being slaughtered.
So if the thesis is:
a) it will take a lot longer to power the world with worm casings, pixie dust, and unicorn farts than some would have us believe (i.e. hydrocarbons are not going anywhere in the foreseeable future)
b) a surprising number of these companies have solid balance sheets
c) a surprising number of these companies are earning profits hand over fist, doom and gloom aside
If a, b, and c are indeed true, you'd have to believe a lot of these companies trading at historic lows will eventually make investors a lot of money. Like buying Florida real estate in 2009.
What am I missing? What holes can be shot in this thesis, looking at it objectively?
I take the point that there is no catalyst to change things or excite investors in this space (although I do get surprised from time to time that the fact that a company can throw off ridiculous amounts of profit and return it to shareholders via dividends and buybacks doesn't itself become a catalyst, but I digress...)
I also take the point that these scenarios can persist for a lot longer than people think they can before things change.
Single-company risk is always there, I understand that, but I reject the idea that all of these companies are headed for bankruptcy.
Aside from patience and the stomach to watch your investment get hammered in the short term - where exactly are the risks?? This seems like such a great buying opportunity that I feel I have to be missing something.
Thank you for whatever insight you can share, and happy long weekend to you and your families!
Ryan
Q: Hi Team, TWM is down to $1.00 level, Is it worth to gamble on ? Thanks as always.
Tak
Tak
Q: Hi,
I am thinking of swapping my VET position for a position in WCP, mainly from a dividend sustainability perspective and also a future growth potential perspective.
Does this sound like a constructive move or am I misguided or missing something? Are there any other energy opportunities that you would point out instead of WCP for income and growth potential?
Thanks,
Derek
I am thinking of swapping my VET position for a position in WCP, mainly from a dividend sustainability perspective and also a future growth potential perspective.
Does this sound like a constructive move or am I misguided or missing something? Are there any other energy opportunities that you would point out instead of WCP for income and growth potential?
Thanks,
Derek
- Veren Inc. (VRN)
- MEG Energy Corp. (MEG)
- Whitecap Resources Inc. (WCP)
- Baytex Energy Corp. (BTE)
- Kelt Exploration Ltd. (KEL)
Q: Eric Nutall at Ninepoint keeps on saying he is buying heavy into energy space companies that are trading around 2.5 EV to Cashflow. Just wondering what some of the better names he’d be buying into may be. Any idea or suggestions?
Q: For a bond etf this thing has gone up absurdly high this year to date. Do you expect this to continue? Would you recommend it?
Q: I heard gas prices were incredibly cheap in 2010, when ARC resources was worth $20 a share. I think the Balance Sheet still looks okay with a 10% dividend. What are reasons not to buy this? I own shares at a cost of $25 - If I was willing to buy it before what has changed? Thank you.
Q: Wondering if you could comment on the results out today; you seemed positive on the firm in your response to an earlier question, and I am wondering if these results reinforce your position.
Thanks
Thanks
- Vermilion Energy Inc. (VET)
- MEG Energy Corp. (MEG)
- Parex Resources Inc. (PXT)
- Baytex Energy Corp. (BTE)
- Surge Energy Inc. (SGY)
Q: everyone seems to agree that the energy stocks have never been so cheap, ignored by investors etc.
can you see a way for those stocks to start getting recognized, should i start picking away.
i do not own any energy, but these is getting ridiculous.
i think jim cramer or one of those pundits said its because of millenials who hate oil, they are into electric. dave
can you see a way for those stocks to start getting recognized, should i start picking away.
i do not own any energy, but these is getting ridiculous.
i think jim cramer or one of those pundits said its because of millenials who hate oil, they are into electric. dave
Q: If you were to be buying one of these today, which one and why?
Thx
Thx
Q: Would you comment on news today. Does preserving capital mean concern over dividend payout?
- TC Energy Corporation (TRP)
- Fortis Inc. (FTS)
- Brookfield Renewable Partners L.P. (BEP.UN)
- Emera Incorporated (EMA)
- Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. (AQN)
Q: Looking to add TRP ( already have ENB ) to my RRSP for some income but am somewhat concerned if there were to be a recession - would this be considered a "Utility " thus less likely to take a hard hit or would I be better looking at BEP.UN, FTS, AQN or EMA and if so, which would you recommend at this time ? Your opinion is greatly appreciated.
thanks
thanks
Q: With respect to the above companies, I would like to have your opinion on their potential, and whether you see any imminent issues with respect to debt levels. Please deduct credits as necessary.
Thanks
Thanks
Q: CIBC is referring to an 82% payout ratio for WCP in 2019, which is different from the 35% payout ratio you referred to below....which is the correct number and do you view their dividend as sustainable?
Q: On BNN last week one of the guests stated that insider trading in large oil companies has been rising. Would this fit in with your assessment of the sector and in your opinion does this indicate that it might be time to start taking a position in the oil and gas sector. If so then would you have a few stocks to recommend, perhaps three small to mid cap and a couple of larger ones. Thanks.
Q: One of these days the sentiment on Canadian gas and oil companies is going to change.( I hope!!).
If that day was tomorrow which small cap Canadian oil and gas company would you buy?
Thanks Ken
If that day was tomorrow which small cap Canadian oil and gas company would you buy?
Thanks Ken
Q: Which would you choose to add a conservative nature to a senior's portfolio, AQN or AW.UN.ca and why? I note AQN is not in any model portfolio and yet its performance seems better than that of AW.UN and with less volatility.
Q: are these stocks a buy at the present price?
Thank you
Thank you
Q: Do you think a dividend cut would help or hurt Vet considering its dividend is getting lofty ?
Q: Hello guys, after PPL's takeover of KML, do you guys think the Transmountain Expansion could be a naturally and strategically fit for PPL? Not sure if PPL ever think about such a possibility considering the huge political headwind TMX is currently facing.