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Investment Q&A

Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.

Q: Hello,

I was wondering what your thoughts are on RHT given it's current price ( ~$2.22 as of today). Based on the most recent share count outstanding (81,871,000), this suggests an EV of about $180 MM for a company that is showing 6 month revenue of $1.1 MM. While I know that early stage companies are based on what the future holds, I also like to keep an eye on what EBITDA needs to be (in the future) to justify valuations. For instance, in the case of RHT, if one believes that within the next 12-24 months they can achieve EBITDA of ~ $12 MM, then this would suggest that today it is trading at a EV/EBITDA multiple of 15 based on future results. EBITDA of $12 MM in turn is achievable if they can hit ~ $20.5 MM in gross revenue with a 78% gross margin (as per most recent financials) and no increase in cash expenses of $4.0 MM annually, as 6 month financials suggest ~ $2.0 MM in cash expenses. In short, does your modelling of RHT suggest/indicate that this is a realistic expectation, and that within the 12-24 month time frame they can reach ~ $20 MM in gross revenue with no margin compression and no increase in cash G&A costs ?

Thanks!
Read Answer Asked by Mike on March 13, 2018
Q: Hi 5i,

I received a notice of a tender offer for ECN shares. The offer advises that existing shareholders can participate by specifying a price between $3.49 to $3.90 per share as a Dutch auction. Can you clarify how this sort of thing typically works, versus just buying at the market price? I'm wondering if this is a good deal for existing shareholders. As of me writing this, the share price is $3.71.

Thanks!




Read Answer Asked by Elliott on March 13, 2018
Q: There was a report today on BNN about fraud in the automobile body shop business. It was admittedly a very limited 'sting' operation by Aviva but a disconcerting one nonetheless. I could not find any further detail on the Aviva website as to the body shops involved and I was wondering if you could find this information and, more specifically, whether any of them are part of the Boyd Group operation?
Read Answer Asked by richard on March 13, 2018
Q: I checked out Trevali Mining at the PDAC conference this week and noticed that it has over 800 million shares outstanding. Do you think this is a concern in the sense that they might decide to consolidate at some point. Also could you provide the fully diluted number of shares as well as recent insider activity and overall ownership. Thanks.
Read Answer Asked by Rob on March 12, 2018