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Investment Q&A

Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.

Q: So you write that the qtr. was challenging, and it missed analysts call by a couple of cents, but with same store sales up 7.3% and revenue up 10.1%, if DOL reported this growth, the stock would rise. Since they have gone public again, management says growth has been higher that they projected. As Warren Buffet said once , one of his companies earning were in line, it was the analysts who got it wrong and did a poor job, blame them not the company.
Read Answer Asked by eugene on November 06, 2017
Q: I have decided to pay off my mortgage, primarily because I think I have had a good run with equity returns outperforming by a good margin the cost of carrying my mortgage. Although I am not concerned about a large correction I think the risk return is swinging a bit more towards paying off the 2.79% mortgage. I will likely sell 3 or 4 of the following to do so: bbd, mal, pza, rsi, rus, tpk, wjx, dht. Please rank in order in which you would sell the companies listed, you can assume none will adversely affect my current asset allocation. I realize it is quite a mixed bag...but they are some of the ones I hold that aren't in your balanced portfolio so kills 2 birds by getting them out of my current holdings...
Read Answer Asked by Tom on November 06, 2017
Q: I asked a question about staying in unregistered equities or paying off my mortgage at 2.79% a few days back. I was a bit surprised for equity guys to tell me to pay off my debt at 2.79%. I get it and basically asked the question because that is what I am likely to do...however doesn't that seem like a pretty low bar even when risk is factored in? Even if you assume I would be taxed at highest rate of 33% you only need to get me 4.2% to come out ahead. So can I interpret your answer that you expect your balanced equity portfolio to return below 4.2% in 2018 and that you fear your current run of 8% annual returns might be coming to an end?
Read Answer Asked by Tom on November 06, 2017
Q: What do you expect will the the effect of today's announcement:
"HIVE Blockchain Announces Release of Shares from Lockup", which states that "24,636,705 common shares originally due to be released November 15, 2017 will be released on Wednesday, November 8, 2017 to allow for more market liquidity".
In general, I would expect that an increase in supply will cause the price to fall... But perhaps it is not so simple? What would you expect from this? Also, it is only bringing it forward by a week, so investors may have known about it. Mind you, I expect the vast majority here are retail investors, who may not be aware of such details, and are just buying the trend/hype.
I know predictions are almost impossible, esp. in a case like HIVE, but I would like to know your thought process when evaluating this kind of news, what points you consider most important, etc. (risk, of course, is already off the charts.)
Thanks!
Read Answer Asked by Ed on November 03, 2017
Q: 5-I,

Love the new website, particularly the ability to mark questions as favourites ! Obviously a lot of thought and work has been put into this.

You advertise as being completely unbiased as you do not allow your staff to own stocks you follow or comment on. I would like to put forth my thoughts on this and invite other 5-I subscribers to as well. As an investor I want as knowledgeable and thorough a person as possible on the guiding end. I do not care what stocks he or she owns. I believe most of the 5-I subscriber base relies on stocks that are traded in sufficient volume to negate any possibility of a pump and dump routine of a staffer. I follow two popular investment writers from the Globe and Mail and if either ever writes about a stock they own, they simply acknowledge their personal ownership. Actually I feel better that they have the confidence to invest in it themselves.
I think this will come into play even more if you decide ( hopefully ) to someday cover American stocks. I really don't want someone advising me about stocks who doesn't invest in any equities at all. You would not attract the best candidate with this approach. 5-I and its client base deserve as good a quality advisor in the future as you currently have now.

Paul

Read Answer Asked by paul on November 03, 2017
Q: Hello 5i,
Congratulations for your new website and thank you for your good work.

In my TFSA, I have the following stocks:

Aberdeen Asia-Pacific Inc.
Chesswood Group
Crescent Point Energy
Photon Control (You had recommended this one a few months ago, and I am up 16%. Thank you for the good recommendation.)
Sherritt Intl.

I am down 70% on Crescent Point and 55% for Sherritt.

I have a 10 year plus investing time horizon.

Should I hold onto CPG and S and just be patient?
If not, and you recommend to sell either one or both of them, what stock(s) would you recommend as a replacement?

I am looking for growth and income.
Currently, CPG is around $4,000 and so is S.
Thank you.
Read Answer Asked by Marc on November 03, 2017
Q: Great new website.

My question is about interest rates. I saw an interview recently discussing interest rate cycles, stating that we have have had 30 years of interest rate decreases, that interest rates have now bottomed and we have begun a long term trend of rate increase. The guest also said that the last long term rate increase cycle was during the 1950s and 1960s. During that 20 year period, the interest payments on bonds were mostly offset by capital losses, resulting in a net return of less than a half of 1 percent annually over 20 years while stocks returned 19% annually over that period. In your opinion, what would be the catalyst for a repeat of this scenario? Does this mean that retirees should shun bonds in favour of stocks even though the risk might be higher?

Thanks and great work
Read Answer Asked by Hans on November 02, 2017
Q: Please rank the above stocks based on how well you think they will do in 2018. 2017 was good for them.
Thanks.
Paul
Read Answer Asked by Paul on November 02, 2017
Q: Greetings 5i,

I like the changes to the website and the tutorial was very helpful and informative. Thanks!

My questions are regarding WEED and HIVE and when to take profits. I managed to get fairly lucky in the timing of my purchases of both companies and find I'm up 70% on Canopy Growth weighing in at 5.5% and up 35% weighing 0.5% with Hive Blockchain. What are your suggestions here?

Cheers!
Read Answer Asked by Duane on November 02, 2017