Investment Q&A

Q: https://www.cnbc.com/2019/08/26/lehman-like-drop-nomuras-masanari-takada-warns-it-could-happen-in-a-week.html Please comment on attached article.Thanks for u usual services & views

Q: Hi 5i team, do you have any advice if US China trade war escalating ? Which Canadian sectors will be less damaging and which sectors will be affected most?

Q: I could use your guidance. A good friend has recently inherited $800,000. He and his wife are in their 60's, retired with a small pension. They are conservative people who have no investing experience and would like to invest the funds in "safe", dividend paying stocks/ETF's to augment their pension. They currently have no money in the market, with all their net worth (excluding the pension) in real estate. They have reached out to investment advisors who want to charge them a flat 2% to invest their funds and have asked me if this is reasonable. They need these funds to live off and the thought of paying someone $16,000/yr to invest the funds seems ridiculous to me. I would like to help them and was hoping you could suggest a balanced income generating portfolio.........perhaps a mix of a few blue chip stocks and ETF's.
Many Thanks
Scott

Q: Hi,
I'm currently in my late 30's and have some funds in a LIRA from a previous company pension. They were invested in some funds with Sunlife before but now just sitting in cash waiting to be in invested. I'm looking for long term capital appreciation as I won't be able to take these funds out until retirement. Looking to increase my US and Intl exposure, which ETFs would be best? Currently own VGG, VUS, XEF and VEE. Should I increase these weights to my desired % or add any others? Looking for low MER core positions. Also should I approach investing in my RSP and LIRA in different ways or would you view them as the same? For example, would you buy stock A in your LIRA instead of RSP or vise versa.

Thanks!

Q: Due to extraordinary volatility, I have reduced above stocks to minor positions and have looked at healthcare stocks. Not sure, whether this approach is realistic. Technology seems still to be surging after setbacks. Your assessment is appreciated.
Thank you, Team!

Q: Portfolio Rebalancing: I am a senior and have a "balanced" investor profile. I am supposed to be 60% equities and 40% fixed income.
Currently I have 20% cash and only 5% fixed income - all of which are preferred ETF's like CPD, or something like ZWE.

I hold most of the companies in both your BE and INC portfolios as well as a number from your G portfolio. The performance has been very satisfactory. Thank you! Hence I have been reluctant to "act my age" and move to 40% fixed income.

This is turning out to be a difficult assignment in part because of "greed" .... or FOMO .....and wanting to hang on to the successful 5i stocks. The relatively few that have not performed have been sold, e.g. NFI, GUD, etc. and are part of my cash position.

The larger part of my problem is TIMING i.e. my concern regarding buying bonds right now given the excellent one year performance of bonds. Am I too late to make this transition from a timing perspective? Concerns here are regarding how much further can bond interest fall? And when the rates start moving up again, would not any increase in interest rates be offset by decreases in most of the bond funds that 5i has been suggesting for Fixed Income?

I would appreciate your guidance in understanding WHY I should buy more bonds now and developing a strategy to do so.
( I understand your not managing my portfolios but any help, information etc would be appreciated).

Thanks.

Q: I am retired and wish to structure a conservative portfolio consider the uncertainty of the economy. I favour banks (RY, TD), utilities (Fortis and Algonquin) and Telecoms (BCE and Telus), BrookMiled Asset Management, Brookfield Renewable and Brookfield Infrastructure Microsoft and Berkshire B.

I would lik´to have 40% in bonds and favourCLF, XBB, XSB and XSH. I would move from FTB even though it has a higher yield but a higher MER.

Your comment would be appreciated.

Thank you.

Donald

Q: I have 5-8% (20%total) positions on these utility type stocks; if we enter a melt-up type scenario in the markets? Would it be prudent to reduce my utility type exposure by selling 1/2 positions and invest in growth type names like Vtv, vfv, etc.? Or would it be in my best interest to hold steady and ride the curve and collect dividends, I'm approaching 70 years of age? Thank you!

Q: I would appreciate your opinion as to why you think interest rates are falling around the world and what is the implication of the underlying issues for equity investors? What would be the best/worst sectors to be invested in this environment?
I appreciate the high quality work you do at 5i.

Thanks

Q: Market Outlook

I realize that I am asking for an opinion and will take it that way.

I have some cash that could be invested, but am not sure when to buy in. (financial sector is what interests me the most.)

Based on your decades of experience how would you decide on when the present down ward slide is near bottom. Please provide your top 5 indicators that there is "blood in the street" and could be a time for buying.

thanks

Ernie

Q: If a recession is upon us, would it be better to lighten up on bank stocks at this time. I'm at about 30% in total weight when I combine all my accounts due to the stock splits and DRIPS. Thinking about selling some and buying some Emera and BAM.A and adding to BEP.UN, AQN and TRP. Would a gold stock like AEM or FNV be suitable at this time ? Your opinion is greatly appreciated.
Thanks

Q: What would consider as a few "relatively" good names to own thru a recession if we are in/approaching one? Would SIS qualify?

Q: Hi 5i - I'm retired now and am wondering what your percentage recco would be for Stocks, ETF's, Index Funds and Bonds in the overall portfolio. Hope you can give me your insight! Thx!

Q: Hello 5i Research...I have a very elderly family member who needs to re-structure her TFSA . Investment horizon may be under 3 years. GIC's are used in other accounts. We are looking for an ETF solution that will provide a decent level of capital safety and some monthly income (above GIC levels).
We were thinking a combo of XTR , CVD, CPD . XCB and CBO. Is there a one fund solution solution that you might endorse? What percentage split of funds might be appropriate in the current environment?

thanks/art

Q: #1. Are there any key indicators that would suggest a recession ?
#2. Would it be a good idea for an investor to get out of the market and buy back in later, thinking there will be a recession soon and a downward stock market.

Q: Considering TFSA, which of these two would be your preference? Thankyou.

Q: I have been rebalancing my portfolio over the past six months, reducing financials and energy and increasing utilities, telecoms, and US technologies ( all in companies you have been positive towards). I remain overweight financials, with Canadian Banks and insurers. I do have a very long term horizon, say 25 years, so if history and my nerve holds, my wife and I should have the desired dividend stream and a decent shot a capital gains over time. However, after reading yet another “we’re all gonna die” column from Dave Rosenberg, it made me wonder if I shouldn’t continue my shift and sell down more financials and increase in sectors with strong dividends that might better weather the storms that may or may not be imminent. What are your thoughts?
As always, I value your opinions. Thank. You.

Q: I read with great concern in this weekend's National Post, David Rosenberg's article entitled "10 Reasons to take risk off the table right now". He makes ten legitimate reasons to do so. I would appreciate 5I's opinion of the article and his supporting logic. My high risk equities are WEF, NFI, TSGI, MX, COV and VET.
Carl.

Q: In reference to my last question you made a couple of suggestions. I parted ways with CHR and NFI. You also suggested that I lacked diversification in some areas. I have accumulated cash since my last question to be deployed at an appropriate time. I have listed again the stocks in which I am currently invested in. Percentage allocation in each was listed in my last question. I have wonder if you maintain an investment profile of your clients. Doing so would enable you to provide more appropriate advice and/or suggestions. It would negate the need for clients to keep repeating investment objectives. Thanks

Q: In your recent market analysis you noted the $13trillion in negative interest bonds as a positive. Presumably the assumption is this money would move to equities for better returns. The most recent report shows the $13 trillion is now over $15 trilllion. Also central banks are cutting interest rates. Does this change your outlook at all?
Many thanks.
Mike