Investment Q&A

Q: What to you consider the long term consequences of the Democrats now having control of the Senate and House of Representatives with regards to prospects for Enbridge? Of immediate concern is the rumoured pending announcement by Biden to cancel the XL pipeline in an effort to appease the left leaning members of his party.

Q: Hello
In Friday's (Jan 15th) Globe & Mail, Clyde Russell warned that the 2020 bullishness on commodities may not continue into 2021 because China's massive buying spree seems to be ending (e.g. Dec imports of copper were down 8.7% from Nov's imports etc). What is your view on commodities for 2021?
thanks

Q: I was wondering if you have an opinion on the risk coming from possible political stability/volatility in the US. While I would guess your answer is status quo, it is hard to think of a more alarming political situation, and right now, increased susceptibility to a subsequent event, such as an outside threat.
Also, somewhat related: with the stimulus package now priced in, do you still think that there is a catalyst ahead for another leg up in the market? Is it any different from our current theses (environment, pot, tech, industrial, gaming etc)?

Q: EMA and FTS are both trading below their 200 dma and at their support prices.
Is there anything fundamentally wrong with either company to account for the drop? Or is money just rotating out of utilities?
I have 1/2 position in each and am thinking to add to them on this dip.
Would you suggest to add now at these prices? Or wait for them to turn up and over the 200 dma as they may just drop further?

Q: Hi 5i ,
I plan to increase my exposure to oil and agriculture. while doing my research, valuations and the RSIs have increased substantially. For example, stockta.com provides the following Alerts for LUN and TECK.B -"Stochastic Overbought Reversal' which I assume means that a reversal can happen any day. I assume that some holders are likely to take some profit soon. Most of what I have read says that you should wait for the RSI to come down but I also understand that the RSI can remain elevated for some time. Should I wait? or could these sectors be on a tear?
Please advise and thank you for your help

Q: Hello 5i team
As a front line (nearly retired) physician, I recently received a Covid 19 immunization. It's difficult to express the REMARKABLE sense of gratitude and euphoria that I observed among everyone involved . Suddenly, we felt liberated from the danger of this scourge that we face daily. Our next exciting job is to immunize our fellow citizens as fast as humanly possible and as we do, this euphoria will spread to society at large.
After my immunization I bought a new car and we're booking our fall and winter travel plans. This manic behaviour, I believe, represents the tip of the iceberg for pent up demand which will be unleashed upon the world.
At the risk of being labelled a mercenary can you identify some sectors which are still beaten up and likely to surge-I'm thinking energy but other suggestions welcome (prefer etf's with a dividend to keep me invested until the recovery occurs-would supplement with high conviction stocks)
Thank you. As always, I value your opinions, Regards gary

Q: I'm now seeing many many people on different social media platforms, including very young people, talking about day trading, leverage, how much money they made on this or another stock. It reminds me very much of the tech bubble when, overnight, everyone became a stock market investor and guru. Are you seeing any of this and is it going to float prices higher do you think?

Q: Helping my son with his investments which are as follows: MAW 106 24%,MAW 106 20%. VUS 21%, VEF 18%, VEE 8%, ZJG 6% and XQQ 3%.Feeling there is a bit of an overlap with some of these investments eg XQQ and VUS also with MAW 150 and VEF to a degree. Any advice is welcome ,stay as is , reduce holdings or increase some..He prefers ETF's and Mutual Funds (Mawer) and is a bit risk adverse but does realize markets go up and down though and is young( mid 30's ) enough to handle declines. ! Thanks.Paul

Q: I am not well diversified into the US market.

I would like to sell some Canadian Banks and put that capital into US equities.

I would like to consider an ETF or a mix of ETFs.

I would like to stick to my investment personality,
long term hold, would not need money for well over 10 years.
Large Cap, Blue Chip dividend paying and "dividend GROWING" equities.

1. Can you make a recommendation for a low cost / mer etf.
2. Do I need more than one ?
3. Should I buy this in Canadian or US funds ?
4. What are the pros and cons of the purchase in Canadian or US dollars

thanks

Ernie

Q: I currently have 4% of my overall portfolio in Consumer stocks (DOO and GOOS). Having a difficult time trying to talk myself into increasing my overall percentage of Consumer stocks but have noticed you were up to 20% Consumer in a recent suggested sector distribution you made. Why so high for Consumer?
thanks, John

Q: Hello and thank you in advance for your reply!
We are hearing more and more talk about a disconnect between the stock market and underlying economies. How sustainable in your view is the current market surge (ie: is this typical of any January), or should we be concerned about another significant correction like last March? If the latter, any recommendations you'd make with regards to less volatile or more defensive sectors, or a more balanced portfolio distribution? With best regards, Aaron

Q: With a Democrat Senate, higher government spending, rising inflation and an expanding 10 yr yield, what would be your fixed income allocation for the next five years? Do any of the above choices make sense? Thanks.

Q: Good morning - I was reading an interesting GS report which is calling for a structural bull market for commodities, starting in 2021. Let's say GS is correct. Assuming that, what would you suggest for a Canadian investor, both at home and in the US. Also, is there an ETF or two that you would suggest to address this assumed trend. Finally, do you think GS is on or off target here?
Thanks

al

Q: Hi guys,

Should the Democrats hold all 3 houses, what is your prediction for the North American markets. Drastic sell off or same as before.

Thanks

Jim

Q: Which sectors do you expect to perform best in 2021?

Q: Hi 5i team,
Peter, I enjoyed your last FP column and your fearless 2021 predictions. In your predictions a year earlier for 2020, you predicted the U.S markets would beat Canada, and they crushed Canada. For 2021, you did not make one for Canada vs the U.S, although you said technology would outperform, where the U.S. has a big edge. While I have a growth and U.S. bias, I did move a chunk of funds back to Canada in 2020 to pick up some value names and some newer tech names. Hence, my question. Who will be the big winner in 2021 – the U.S. with its big tech, healthcare and consumer names (the favourite) or Canada with its financials, energy and materials names (the perennial underdog)?
Thanks again for your insight over the years.
Dave

Q: Are we approaching a point where we should be cautious about putting new funds to work in the Balanced Equity 5iPortfolio? Valuations are high and for some reason one of the world’s best investors is sitting on mountains of cash?

Q: As an answer I'm looking for a general discussion (not a treatise) on sector allocation.
Have you or would you produce a recommended weighting of sectors, and where applicable, sub-sectors.
Are the traditional sectors still relevant? Should we be trying to fit all the emerging technologies (SEMI CONDUCTORS, CONSUMER PRODUCTS, 5G, GAMING, EV, AI, AUTONOMOUS DRIVING, SAAS, GREEN ENERGY, RENEWABLES, GENOMICS to name a few) into either INFO-TECH or one of the traditional sectors. What percentage of a portfolio should be in emerging technologies regardless of sector etc?
thanks, Hugh
p.s. you answer many questions that involve sector allocation - you may want to create a category for this in your searches.

Q: On December 23 of last year, you suggested an asset allocation for 11 sectors for a retired dividend-income investor. I found it helpful.
For 2021, what would you suggest the allocation for 11 sectors be for a balanced portfolio with the focus tilted more to capital gains?.
....Thanks.....Tom

Q: Question regarding the Canadian dollar. Do you think it will continue to gain on the USD and your best guess at a timeline regarding a peak if you see one? Also, what do you think a peak might be ($.90)? I realize this is speculative but appreciate your best guess.