Q: The US deficit is expected to be $3.67 trillion, if no further stimulus comes from the feds. Government revenues will be way down. Other governments, such as in Europe and Canada, have unheard-of deficits as well. This is after government debt was already high.
There's also a belief that interest rates will be lower for longer. This seems the opposite of the early 1980's, when there was a general disbelief that inflation could be tamed, and GIC's regularly paid more than 10%.
To me, inflation has become a necessity, and we are about to see a world-wide focus on making debt more affordable by reducing the value of money (an argument for gold or cryptocurrencies). But what about floating rate debt, and 5 year preferred resets? They're priced as though inflation will never happen.
There's also a belief that interest rates will be lower for longer. This seems the opposite of the early 1980's, when there was a general disbelief that inflation could be tamed, and GIC's regularly paid more than 10%.
To me, inflation has become a necessity, and we are about to see a world-wide focus on making debt more affordable by reducing the value of money (an argument for gold or cryptocurrencies). But what about floating rate debt, and 5 year preferred resets? They're priced as though inflation will never happen.