Q: Everyone, what are the next headwinds and when will they show up in the markets. Clayton
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Investment Q&A
Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.
Q: Hello 5i,
I caught a headline on BNN regarding BofC sentiment around interest rates. I took from it that the BOC might be poised for a much larger cut than it has done so far, perhaps 0.75, even 1.0 bp cut. Now, with a Trump win and policies that could fuel Canadian inflation by increasing the cost of U.S. imports on the one hand and a potential dampening effect on the Canadian economy as whole on the other, do you see any strong sense of direction for Canadian interest rate policy for the next meeting in December?
I know this kind of prognostication is problematic, but I would value your insights as to what Canadians might reasonably expect from the Bank of Canada on Dec. 11.
Many thanks for any analysis you can provide.
Cheers,
Mike
I caught a headline on BNN regarding BofC sentiment around interest rates. I took from it that the BOC might be poised for a much larger cut than it has done so far, perhaps 0.75, even 1.0 bp cut. Now, with a Trump win and policies that could fuel Canadian inflation by increasing the cost of U.S. imports on the one hand and a potential dampening effect on the Canadian economy as whole on the other, do you see any strong sense of direction for Canadian interest rate policy for the next meeting in December?
I know this kind of prognostication is problematic, but I would value your insights as to what Canadians might reasonably expect from the Bank of Canada on Dec. 11.
Many thanks for any analysis you can provide.
Cheers,
Mike
Q: 5iR recommends 20% for income, 40% for balance and 40% for growth. At the same time, 65% for US stocks and 35% for Canadian stocks. How do I combine or mix these two recommendations between Cda and the US? Like what % of income should be Cda vs US and ditto for Balance and for Growth?.....Thanks muchly for the assistance!......tom
Q: If the S&P were to drop 5-7% as Fund Strat is suggesting between now and the end of November, are there any specific stocks or sectors that 5i thinks would be hurt the most.
FS has an enviable record of calling market trends accurately. And not being doom and gloomers. In fact they are still calling for further upside in total out to the end of the year.
Of course no one is right all the time. But I have been looking to raise some cash and this might be a good time to do so.
Thank you for your help.
FS has an enviable record of calling market trends accurately. And not being doom and gloomers. In fact they are still calling for further upside in total out to the end of the year.
Of course no one is right all the time. But I have been looking to raise some cash and this might be a good time to do so.
Thank you for your help.
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iShares Core S&P U.S. Total Market Index ETF (XUU)
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iShares Core S&P U.S. Total Market Index ETF (CAD-Hedged) (XUH)
Q: The Canadian Dollar has weakened against the US and is reaching relatively historic lows (for the last 10 years). For Registered accounts like an RRSP and TSFA where there are no tax implications of selling, would you support the switch from Non-hedged ETFs to CAD-Hedged ETFs? For example, the switch from XUU.CA to XUH.CA
Q: How do you see the Cdn and US market sectors reacting to a Democratic or Republican win.
Q: Hi 5i,
I've searched the miscellaneous question category back to early September and, surprisingly, haven't seen this or a related question:
It appears the chances of a Trump win in 10 days' time are at least 50/50. He has said he will impose 10-20% tariffs on everything the US imports. He has said he will look at the USMCA agreement, which could mean he'll just tear it up. There's no real reason to think he won't do the things he says he's going to do, and he may well do a whole bunch more, economically and trade related, that he hasn't talked about. Whatever actually transpires, his economic policy is likely to be very disruptive, both in the US and abroad. As Canada's largest trading partner (although we mean considerably less to the US, relatively speaking) the impacts could be significant here.
Do you agree the impact on Canada could be significant, what do you think the impact(s) might be and what, if anything, would you recommend a Canadian with a diversified portfolio of Canadian equities do to Trump proof the portfolio and reduce the shock?
Frankly, I'm worried ...
Thanks,
Peter
I've searched the miscellaneous question category back to early September and, surprisingly, haven't seen this or a related question:
It appears the chances of a Trump win in 10 days' time are at least 50/50. He has said he will impose 10-20% tariffs on everything the US imports. He has said he will look at the USMCA agreement, which could mean he'll just tear it up. There's no real reason to think he won't do the things he says he's going to do, and he may well do a whole bunch more, economically and trade related, that he hasn't talked about. Whatever actually transpires, his economic policy is likely to be very disruptive, both in the US and abroad. As Canada's largest trading partner (although we mean considerably less to the US, relatively speaking) the impacts could be significant here.
Do you agree the impact on Canada could be significant, what do you think the impact(s) might be and what, if anything, would you recommend a Canadian with a diversified portfolio of Canadian equities do to Trump proof the portfolio and reduce the shock?
Frankly, I'm worried ...
Thanks,
Peter
Q: Good morning. I have some sizeable gains in my U. S. unregistered account. Average for the portfolio is 32,5% in 2024 so far. Would you trim some names to sit on the sidelines until the dust from the election settles and hopefully rebuy at a lower price, considering taxes payable as well? Thanks David
Q: Would you hold off investing in the US Market until the results of the election shake out?
Q: please list the 5 most negatively impacted Canadian companies(any industry) should Trump win the November 5th election thanks Richard
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Alphabet Inc. (GOOG)
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Eli Lilly and Company (LLY)
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Loblaw Companies Limited (L)
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Tourmaline Oil Corp. (TOU)
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South Bow Corporation (SOBO)
Q: In a portfolio with banks at 42% (TD, and National), energy at 35% (TC, Sobo, and Tourmaline) and consumer discretionary 16% (ATD), what companies would you suggest diversifying into? This is my husband's account and he buys and holds. He will be selling Telus and needs some options for telecommunications and more. Could he be more diversified? He is asking my advice but I appreciate hearing from you.
Many thanks.
V.
Many thanks.
V.
Q: Hi 5i,
The BoC announced the largest rate reduction in 15 years (not including during the pandemic) this morning, and since that announcement my well diversified portfolio has experienced its largest single day loss (right across the board) since I began managing my own investments 8 years ago.
I've been looking forward to today's announcement because I had thought it would lead to an increase in my portfolio value, but it seems to have had the opposite effect - in spades!
Can you explain what's going on? And should I be worried?
Thanks 5i.
Peter
The BoC announced the largest rate reduction in 15 years (not including during the pandemic) this morning, and since that announcement my well diversified portfolio has experienced its largest single day loss (right across the board) since I began managing my own investments 8 years ago.
I've been looking forward to today's announcement because I had thought it would lead to an increase in my portfolio value, but it seems to have had the opposite effect - in spades!
Can you explain what's going on? And should I be worried?
Thanks 5i.
Peter
Q: Would you wait until 2025 to rebalance a TFSA with many losers or underperformers? Tax loss season, interest rates and american elections add a lot of unknown. Thanks.
Q: A have been listening to a lot of reputable professionals stating we will soon be entering years of low returns in the stock market. Can you let me know what data they are reviewing to make such comments?
Also, do you agree with this assessment?
Thanks
Also, do you agree with this assessment?
Thanks
Q: I am hearing more comments that the market at new highs, a correction is overdue. Would you know if this so called overvalued market , sector specific and if so then which sectors are currently overvalued and which ones are under based on historical 10+ years.
Q: Hey 5i, Last Monday I sent the Sector question below to 5iRinfo because it was a question about the website not a stock. I didn't get a response back from 5i, so I'll ask the question again. I don't think I should lose a question credit for this question.
I am a current member and can't find on your website if 5i does a Stock Sector Weighting chart i.e. today on the TSX what stock sectors should we be Overweight, Neutral and Underweight in? Should I have a heavier weighting in Finance or Technology? I'm sure you get it! If this chart is not there and updated on a regular basis then it certainly should be!!
Thanks for your help.
Cheers,
Chris Thomson
I am a current member and can't find on your website if 5i does a Stock Sector Weighting chart i.e. today on the TSX what stock sectors should we be Overweight, Neutral and Underweight in? Should I have a heavier weighting in Finance or Technology? I'm sure you get it! If this chart is not there and updated on a regular basis then it certainly should be!!
Thanks for your help.
Cheers,
Chris Thomson
Q: Everyone, interest rates are declining and people / companies will have reduced costs due the reduction in interest rates. What are the projected cost savings? How significant is that number? Clayton
Q: The Macro Market Models are very interesting. I think I missed the explanation on the "Sector, Size, and Style Rotation" tables which give percentages for each signal i.e., Trim, Hold/Tactical Buy, Buy and Strong Buy". What are these percentages relative to? Thanks.
Q: How to prepare for volatility and duties to exports.
Q: Good morning 5i
I noticed this morning that there was a question showing concern for the election and stocks. I am not thinking about selling out completely. But, I have considered selling everything that has to do with green energy. While I think it is important and necessary, it doesn’t look like Trump thinks so. And there looks like a strong possibility that he will be given another chance to see what he can do. So, the question is not about selling all but certain things, such as icln. How would you see that?
Thanks for your great help
I noticed this morning that there was a question showing concern for the election and stocks. I am not thinking about selling out completely. But, I have considered selling everything that has to do with green energy. While I think it is important and necessary, it doesn’t look like Trump thinks so. And there looks like a strong possibility that he will be given another chance to see what he can do. So, the question is not about selling all but certain things, such as icln. How would you see that?
Thanks for your great help