Investment Q&A

Q: SPY has quite a run. Any thoughts on moving some funds over to MDY to gain more mid cap exposure ?

Q: Hi 5i, this is a general question on the big ship S.S. North America.

First what do you consider are the best leading indicators? For example US PPI and Retail Sales are down this week, and the sales are down a lot, not sure if this is seasonal post holiday burn out. Another thing that perplexes me is why housing, both mortgages and rent, aren't backed out of the CPI. If they are then aren't we around 2%. Lastly how come we don't look at GDI more? It seems while GDP , govt and personal spending, is driving this number however GDI is going down. It would also be nice to see real numbers adjusted for the massive immigration, pretty sure they would all be negative.

Q: I have quite a bit of cash in GICs & HISAs to invest. I am trying to reconcile buying at the top of the market vs waiting for a drop (which is difficult to time). I do not need the funds in the near future. I am thinking that if I buy now at the top of the market and then the market drops, I can always sell for a capital loss and immediately repurchase a similar ETF that trades in a different index provided the ETF is held in a non-registered account . If I take this course of action, then I would actually be no further behind vs waiting for a market drop (other than the ~4.5 I would get in a GIC or HISA). Is my thinking logical? Am I missing something?

Q: My question is what to do with my legacy fixed-income holdings.

I've been holding the above ETFs after being advised by 5i's portfolio analysis services to increase fixed-income holdings. Holdings are in registered accounts at a 25% weight combined.

They have all lost capital value over the past 5 years, however with distributions, they have returned approximately zero or flat over the last 5 years, I view this as a loss due to the inflation over this time.

What would 5i suggest I do with these fixed-income holdings moving forward? Should I hold for ballast or sell and move funds into dividend growers like Utilities or Pipelines eg. FTS, ALA, GEI, TRP, etc.)? The bond investments have put a drag on my investment returns.

Please advise your thoughts and wisdom, Thank you.

Q: What would you advise as an optimum allocation of CAD vs US stock now (and the next few years) ? It seems that the US economy is growing and would support more easily higher interest rates than Canada. Also more innovation, productivity.
Thanks !

Q: What are your thoughts on ETFs that are market weighted versus equal weighted? From anecdotal review it looks like the market weight ones do much better. It may also be relevant how many holdings they have.

Q: Re your chart in Potential for a Catch-Up Rally you seem to show that SHOP is 2% to all time highs. If I understand this correctly the 2 % is very wrong.

I show we are approx 100% from all time highs in Oct 2021 at $223.

If I am misinterpreting your chart please clariy my misunderstanding.

With thanks


Sheldon

Q: My 22 year old son received a $100,000 gift from his grandfather on his birthday. His TFSA and FHSA are fully funded so this money will go to funding his first unregistered account. The S&P 500 has shown an average annual return in excess of 13% over the past 15 years and over 20% in 2023. As such, it is tempting to just put the full amount in an S&P ETF, but having come off a 20% year gives one pause. What is your recommendation in this case?

Q: Hi Peter and 5i team,

With the struggles of the Chinese financial markets recently, is there any worry that the trouble can spread globally to other markets?

Thanks.

Q: Would you anticipate moderate or major corrections of US and Canadian markets in the near future?
Miroslaw

Q: Can you kindly recommend any sites tracking RSI for individual stocks and whether you feel this is a good input into the decision making process of when deciding to buy an oversold stock?

Also, I notice there are timeframes for RSI (weekly, monthly etc) so how does the timeframe inform the result and help a decision to purchase an oversold stock?

Thanks as always for your guidance!

Q: My suggested allocation for Tech is 16% but due to the amazing run up lately of the likes of Nvidia, Amazon Google and Apple, I’m now over 35%. I know how important diversification is but the momentum is almost overwhelming.
Thoughts???

Q: Everyone, what have you learned about the markets so far this year? Clayton

Q: Hi,

As individual DIY growth investor, what are some of the top things we can we do to maximize up-market capture vs minimizing down-market capture? I have a longer timeframe and am comfortable with volatility in the markets. With the strength in tech, the sector has run to ~26% (SHOP, KXS, CSU, NVEI, CRWD, TOI, NVDA, LMN, INTU), followed by financials 18%, cons disc 15%, industrials 12% and the others all below 6%.

Is it time to trim across the board and re-balance? How do you balance this while allowing strong compounders to continue performing over time? What are the key things to do focus on to beat the market going up while protecting those gains and minimizing downside?

Thank you!

Q: Hi, my respected 5i team
I know it is impossible to predict the future, I would like to get your professional ideas about how the "S&P/TSX Composite Index Banks" will perform in the next 5 years? It seems everyone expecting the interest rate going down and how will this affect the 5 big banks performance down the road?

And how will the general market perform (both US and Canada) in the next 5 years?

Thanks in advance!

Q: "As reported by the Canadian Federation of Independent Business, approximately 76% of business owners are anticipated to transition out of their businesses in the next decade. This could result in over $2 trillion in business assets changing hands, presenting a substantial opportunity for growth and yield in the sector."
Do you have any suggestions of companies that may benefit if this in fact is an upcoming trend?

Q: Could you please tell me which 3 GICS sectors you would expect to outperform over the next 3 years (excluding Technology), and a brief explanation of why? Also, could you please give me your top two stock picks (not ETFs) for each of those sectors ? Could be US or CAD stocks but I am looking for stocks that also pay a dividend. Greatly appreciated. Thank you.

Q: In the latest Money Saver John De Goey presents the thesis of "A Minsky Moment" Other sources have also stated that a hard landing is expected. I have stayed through all the past bear market and came out more or less unscathed by not registering a loss but have lost 40% upside. Is it time to get out at 77 years old and put my total inot CASH.TO and of the same ilk or continue to stay the course. If These are scare tatics then they are working by entertaining consideration.
Thank you for your great service

Q: Where does the suggested percentage allocation by sector for the equity portfolio come from?

Q: with the deficits that the Canadian government has been running and the money that has been given away to situations that will never yield anything back to Canada , at what point would you expect our currency to significatly devalue or simple turn into Monopoly money ?