Investment Q&A

Q: I have $500k in cash to invest. Getting into the market with current economy and market conditions is hard for me to do. I have asked around at other firms and of course the answer has always been "Get in now. why wait", but I believe that they are biased because they will make their fees from me even if I lose money during a market correction.

As an example I did some back calculations using a tool on Steadyhand's web page and the rate of return from 2007 to 2016 compared to 2008 to 2016 is significantly different. By waiting one year the annual ROR changes by almost 100% (5% 2007-2016, 11% 2008-2016). It is interesting how nobody ever talks about this.

I would like to wait until the market correction happens, whenever that may be, but I need some unbiased advice.

I realize that this question has probably been asked before but I think that the answer to this question has to take into account current conditions and where the market is compared to historical norms and averages.

If I was using one of the 5i portfolios it would be the Income portfolio.

Q: Just a comment about the 'dot-com bubble' worry, if I may. I remember that there was a legitimate craze happening at that time. Any company that had a .com at the end of its name took off to astronomical prices based on nothing - no revenue, no customers, no book value. The tech companies we're talking about now are real, and it looks to me like they're riding a secular wave of demand for computing power related to real growth areas like AI, data centers, machine learning, virtual reality, and cloud computing. Granted, this won't last forever, and it's an open question as to how long they can grow at current rates, but at least you're not investing in thin air like the crowd was doing back in the 00's.

Q: Where can I get the TSE yield and price per earnings as the Report on Business, Globe and Mail no longer provides this info?
Tax loss selling-Is it 30 calendar days or 30 trading days before you can repurchase?

Q: Will these Canadian companies greatly benefit from the US tax cuts and would your recommend any or all of them as buys at this time Are the other Canadian companies you would prefer. Thanks for your terrific service.

Q: It seems to me that the ability to pass tax reform in the US is a significant event. Could you please comment on the impact of this event with respect to market valuation as well as benefiting sectors.

Q: Markets have been pulling back the last few days. Do you attribute this to tax loss selling or something else? When would you suggest deploying cash?

Q: I am in my 30's and have a fairly diversified portfolio both geographically and by sector. Currently i own 100% equities with roughly a 70/30 split of growth to value companies. This money is for retirement and i don't plan on touching it for the unforeseeable future. I don't want to do anything drastic but i would like to get slightly more defensive going into next year. The bubbles i see in cannabis/bitcoin at the moment as well as i see many friends/family who normally don't invest or talk about investing starting to put money into the market (mostly in weed/bitcoin stocks) scares me slightly and i feel we could have a minor or slightly larger pullback at any time. Which of the following would you suggest. Add a 10% weighting in fixed income? Trim some of my growth winners (TOY,KXS,SHOP,etc) and add to some of my value names (XTC,OTC,WPK,etc)? Trim some winners to have my cash position move from 5% to 10-12% and add to positions when i see more value? I realize these can be personal questions but i am looking for your feedback anyways.

Q: Good afternoon 5i. I own the following stocks. Today there`s been talk about possible sector rotation of funds going from tech to financials. The Nasdaq is down 1.3% today. My portfolio stands as of right now at 22% tech and 15% financials. Would you recommend I leave my portfolio as is or should I lean more towards financials going forward?

Thx/Rob

Q: It appears to me that you favor diversification outside of Canada and the U.S., even though your primary recommendations cover the Canadian market. What would be your top recommendations for the emerging markets, India, China, Japan, Europe, etc ?

Q: I've recently sold my holdings and am entirely in cash. I'm wondering whether I should wait for a correction and take advantage of some bargains or whether I'm better off getting my money invested and not worrying about marketing timing. I realize you cannot "crystal ball gaze" but I'm interested in your comments regarding staying in cash and waiting for an opportunity to present itself vs. getting back into a portfolio. Thank you.

Q: Hi everyone at 5i! I need a clarification about bonds. I have heard that bonds are facing head winds with the anticipated increase in interest rates. I have a portfolio of 60% stocks and 40% fixed. My fixed component consists of GICs, bonds, some preferreds and ETFs of XHY, CBO and CPD. These ETFs pay me a nice dividend monthly. My strategy is to invest my monthly dividend into the ETF that is lagging to get the greatest value for my dollar. Considering that the value of these ETFs may fall ( hopefully just in the short term) would you consider this an ok strategy or would you refrain from putting more money in bonds and preferreds. Cheers, Tamara

Q: Hello Folks:
Thank you again for your terrific service!
I am a 71 yr. old investor who has never kept any amount of cash in our accounts.
I feel there may be a serious negative re-evaluation approaching for world
markets; therefore considering moving to a half cash position, as we rely on returns for a good portion of our income. It is a difficult choice as dividend and rising equity prices have been very good since the recession, however nothing remains stagnant.
Our portfolio is primarily large cap US stocks and some quality dividend paying Canadian equities.
As always, I appreciate your point of view and suggestions
Brian

Q: Great new website.

My question is about interest rates. I saw an interview recently discussing interest rate cycles, stating that we have have had 30 years of interest rate decreases, that interest rates have now bottomed and we have begun a long term trend of rate increase. The guest also said that the last long term rate increase cycle was during the 1950s and 1960s. During that 20 year period, the interest payments on bonds were mostly offset by capital losses, resulting in a net return of less than a half of 1 percent annually over 20 years while stocks returned 19% annually over that period. In your opinion, what would be the catalyst for a repeat of this scenario? Does this mean that retirees should shun bonds in favour of stocks even though the risk might be higher?

Thanks and great work

Q: I try to maintain a diversified portfolio. However, I am wondering when you refer to owing "materials" what role metals and other mineable resources should play. For example, I tend not to own metals or mining stocks but instead, I choose to invest in other materials such as chemicals (MX) or lumber (SJ) (and maybe even including CCL as your portfolios list it as materials).

Am I getting "proper" diversification this way or should one also invest in gold, silver, copper assets etc?

Appreciate your insight.

Paul F.

Q: Hi! Are we getting a sustainable energy rebound? If yes could you arrange the following stocks in order of preference: TOG, BIR, NVA, KEL, SPE, TOU and perhaps Xeg.
Thank you!

Q: The question of what to do when one is worried about the possibility of a sharp market correction often arises. In the past you have proposed increasing the portfolio allocation to cash. As a complement to that strategy, what about tilting the portfolio more toward low beta (less than 0.5, say) stocks? I’m thinking of stocks like L, ECI, CSH.UN, KBL, SJ, SLF. How much protection - qualitatively speaking -do you think that would provide against the possibility of a sharp correction of, say, 10-15%?

Q: Interested to know the percentage that each sector represents of the TSX, i.e. financial, utilities, energy, etc. Is it prudent to use this sector representation to structure a portfolio. Thanks, David

Q: Do you think it wise to sell all securities until this US Korea problem gets fixed one way or the other. If hostilities do break out I imagine the world stock exchanges are going to break down.

Thank You
Craig

Q: I have just sold my sailboat to a US buyer so they proceeds are in USD and my wife has had primarily US clients lately. To integrate this into my portfolio and maintain by target balance about 75% of it needs to be converted to CAD.

I know forex is difficult to predict but would appreciate if the CAD run-up is overdone or if it is supported by predicted pace of interest rate hikes in Canada vs the US and likely to maintain its current level for a while.

I can do 3 transactions to meet the threshold for reduced exhange costs at my online brokerage and was planning 1 this week and then 2-3 months down the road to do the next.
Thanks.

Q: If you had two or three hundred thousand dollars (not in an RRSP or TFSA), and you wanted to grow it aggressively for a period of about three to five years, how would you invest it, and what kind of a return would you expect? Would your answer be different if it was only fifty thousand? Assume that I don't need any income from the investment, that I have maximal tolerance for risk, and that I've already tried tulips but I was 380 years too late. Thanks.