Investment Q&A

Q: From today's Globe and Mail: Equity markets opened lower Thursday as global bond yields surged higher. Mehul Daya, an analyst from South Africa-based Nedbank, believes bond yields are approaching the “Rubicon level,”

“The JPM Global Bond yield, after being in a tight channel, has now begun to accelerate higher. There is scope for the JPM Global Bond yield to rise another 20- 30bps, close to 2.70%, which is the ‘Rubicon level’ for global financial markets, in our view. If the JPM Global Bond yield rises above 2.70%, the cost of global capital would rise further, unleashing another risk-off phase."

Normally, 'risk off' means purchasing the very stocks which perform badly during rising rates, ie. dividend stocks. That would not seem to make much sense here. What sectors do you believe would be most and least affected by these rising bond yields? I know it supposedly helps the banks and insurers but we have been hearing that all year without much sustained impact on their stock prices. So I'm uncertain where to put new money.

Q: Hi Peter, know as the nafta deal is over where do you see our Canadian $$ against US. $$$. Thanks Alnoor

Q: I sold dol recently. I'm down 8% on ccl and 5% on pbh. Both have been week lately which is driving crazy while the US markets grow. I'm tempted to sell these 2 and replace with ba, ita, grub.

Your thoughts please.

Q: How does the unwinding of the Fed's balance sheet impact the bond market?

Q: Thank you for your HUV recommendation. I am looking for a "short/bear" type ETF or stock to protect against downside. Would you suggest any strategy.

Q: Since the announcement of the new USMCA agreement I've noticed the Canadian market trending downwards, even the Balanced portfolio has taken a broad based hit from it. Any concerns you can see with the agreement that could be causing this distortion (while the US market rallies)? Or is this more sector specific?

Q: These tech stocks have been under pressure recently. Is a rotation out of the Tech sector underway. Thanks.

Q: Do you have any feel for what is going on with the TSX, one would think that resolution of the NAFTA issue would have settled down canadian markets but they seem to continue their downward movement. Thanks

Q: I know you've made sector percentage allocation recommendations in the past (always with caveats), but i can't seem to find them. So I apologize for what will no doubt be repetitive for you. What sector allocation percentages would you recommend for a retiree with no immediate needs for cash but needing to keep things pretty conservative due to advancing age and increasing health issues? I will keep your reply on file!

Q: The TSX appears to be shrugging off the US/Canada trade agreement without much interest, once again by far the worst performing north American index. Are you surprised at the lack of response? Would you expect much going forward or should money be moved into US markets?

Q: Feeling that Canadian stocks were due for a post NAFTA bounce, I am "all in " on Canada. My thinking is that while some companies and sectors will get an immediate boost, there is also a good chance that other Canadian companies, even ones that don't benefit too directly from NAFTA, will get another look over the medium (3 months to 1 year) term due to the improved stability of the investment environment. Obviously things can happen, but, in gneral, does this scneario make sense to you? Thank-you.

Q: Hi 5i Team,
At the recent Toronto Money Show, David Rosenberg advised that the leading indicators he monitors are showing signs of an economic slowdown. He advised people to become defensive. My question is what does he mean by defensive and how does a retail buy and hold investor do this. Would it be possible to give examples of defensive sectors and stocks?

Thanks and regards,
Danny

Q: Interest rates (as reflected in the 10 year U.S. T-bond) are up again today.
Canadian term deposit rates are at the same time starting to make me feel all pink and fuzzy. Over the last while I've started to build a ladder of rate reset preferred shares (5 yr with a floor) mixed with term deposits of varying durations, and at the same time moving slowly out of common stocks except for special situations. Good idea or too short-sighted?
(Full disclosure, I am very much a senior). Thank you.

Q: After the 2008 recession, which stocks/commodities made the quickest comeback. Also, which market US or Canada?

Q: It appears that sometime in the medium to long term future the majority of the vehicles on the road will be electric. My question is, with the stock market being forward looking, at what point does this start to affect oil related stocks. Maybe it has started to affect them now. I have heard a few people say they are staying away from oil now because of this. I know there are a lot of factors on this topic but I would appreciate your educated guess.

Q: I just read the report by Eric Lascelles and the team of economists at RBC (Sept 7/18).They give a 1% probability to a modernized NAFTA that produces positive economic outcomes. All the other scenarios are negative with the highest probability (35%) given to the US getting all their demands with of course negative economic effects for all parties. Given this, a sane person has to wonder why we are even discussing changing NAFTA. As investors though, are we better to ignore all of this and assume well managed Canadian companies will adjust and emerge competitive once they know the new rules, or should we try to be more proactive. I am assuming you lean toward the former.
Your thoughts are appreciated.
Mike

Q: Re:your answer to Johns question of august 27th. 10 pick of best company's to best weather a correction. Would you consider a portfolio of 30% pmif and 70% these 10 picks at 5% each to be a decent portfolio no matter an iminent significant correction is at hand or not or would you tweek it in some way. Thank you kindly. Larry

Q: Hello Peter / Ryan
Generally speaking, is there anything out there that really worries you about the way the economy is currently or where it is headed ? On the whole, you seem optimistic / upbeat and I'm wondering what it takes to shake you up and make you nervous. Just curious.

Thanks

Q: What are your top 5 recommended stocks (in order of preference) that would do the survive the best through a recession?

Q: Still sitting on some american money, trade deals seem to falling in place, obviously a positive, but election coming up, if Trump does lose the house, what is your opinion on how the market will react to that?, and would now be a time to invest in a U S A core portfolio or any advice would be appreciated
Thanks