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Investment Q&A

Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.

Q: In one of your questions you said it looks as though the worst of the pandemic is over. Just wondering from a financial perspective why you would have this take.

Thanks
Read Answer Asked by Meghan on May 05, 2020
Q: What did you think of the earnings report of BRK.B? What do you think about Warren Buffets comments?

Interested to know what your thoughts of this market moving foward (e.g. re-test the lows in March, low downward drag, best to continue to buy small and steady over time, sell anything that might have been bought too high at the rally)? I ask this question as I assume all your subscribers are wondering as these markets are difficult to navigate.

Thanks so much for your fantastic service. Best investment decision I have ever made. Hope you and yours remain safe and healthy.
Read Answer Asked by Justin on May 04, 2020
Q: Over the weekend, Warren Buffet is going to addressing his fans and no doubt all of the investment community is anxious to hear his views. I have no doubt he must be quite nervous for he and Charlie Munger since they are both in the late 80's . None the less , he will probably say some soothing words and it may give the market a bit of a boost, but how long it will hold is anyone's guess. As the economy reopens as early as next week, I think the "market" is going to feel better.
Read Answer Asked by Murray on May 04, 2020
Q: I've been in the market for about ten years. During that time a certain predictability has emerged in what sorts of stocks get most heavily hit during market routs such as today's., and what sorts of stocks are least damaged. That predictability has disappeared since February. In fact, when the market drops down heavily the stocks most likely to be hit hardest are the ones which used to be hit least, like utilities, REITs, banks, and other dividend stocks. Do you have an explanation for this? Shouldn't the low interest rates which make bonds unattractive protect these stocks to some extent?
Read Answer Asked by John on May 01, 2020
Q: Hello Peter,
The quarter beginning January is generally good for the market and this year was no exception until the time global economy was paralyzed by covid19. Now we are in May the time for sell and go away. Besides, history would suggest that the recovery does not happen in a straight line. I would like to know what probability you would give for a correction next couple of weeks, before /after the earnings season ends.
The recovery is usually led by large cap which has largely been the case and recently the small caps are showing signs of life as evidenced by the ETF IWO. I am fully invested participating in the recovery and here is the dilemma. Do I stay the course or should I trade the swing if there is a say a 70 percent or more probability of a correction happening soon. And I am not trying to be exact but reasonably close; and could do with your experience and expert opinion on this. And should I raise cash from large caps or the smaller growth stocks, almost all in the tech sector and in the USA. Both will recover eventually but which group would be primed for a trade if that is the route to go.
Thanking you in advance.
Rajiv
Read Answer Asked by Rajiv on May 01, 2020
Q: I put a bunch of new money into my various holdings after some of the big market drops. I did miss the bottom and have just come into quite a bit more cash. Would you be deploying now after the recent gains, or do you have reason to believe there will be another sell of and decline? I have a tough time thinking the crisis is over, and if the stock market is just going to go up from here that really means the entire world overreacted doesn't it?
Read Answer Asked by david on May 01, 2020
Q: Hello Team
I am hearing different comments, and one from David Rosenberg in particular, suggesting it is quite possible to see a 60cent dollar in the not too distant future and I would appreciate your thoughts. Further to this personally I feel that the markets seem to be going through a period of "irrational exuberance" and personally I feel we are only at the beginning of what is to come in terms of a downturn in the Canadian economy. With this in mind, what would your thought be of changing some Canadian dollars in my accounts to US dollars for investment purposes. I would also consider using a US ETF such as GLD to play the rising gold stocks. Appreciate your thoughts
Read Answer Asked by Robert on April 30, 2020
Q: opinion question, the markets seem to be bouncing back.

What is your opinion on the market bottom having been reached?
What are the 3 biggest variables to affect the canadian markets in the next 6 to 12 months?
Read Answer Asked by Ernest on April 30, 2020
Q: This is a wild market which has rebounded well beyond my expectations since the March 23rd lows. Do you subscribe to this resurgence which seems at odds with reality? I know the market looks forward but, geez this is really optimistic...
What do you think?
Thank you.
Read Answer Asked by Steven on April 29, 2020
Q: The guy who predicted the 2008 financial crisis is now forecasting a depression 10 times worse than the 2008 crisis.
Furthermore Rosenberg predicts it will take 10 years to get out of this Covis 19 downturn.
I will appreciate your insight.
Read Answer Asked by Terry on April 29, 2020
Q: I noticed how supply chain related companies are growing after watching the mess with PPE and other medical supplies. I also read/hear there may be a rise in Nationalism in the future. I tend to believe this also, but Canada rushed signing the CUSMA the last day before breaking from Parliament (which I think was reckless considering we were in a crisis). I'm guessing most people (including myself) don't know a lot of what they signed off on. So do you think it's possible this may limit the amount of "new" Canadian manufacturing taking place as far as North America is concerned?
Read Answer Asked by Paul on April 28, 2020
Q: Morning 5iTeam, During the 1918 pandemic, how big of a hit did the financial markets take in Canada and the States? And how how long did it take for both markets to recover to pre-1918 pandemic levels?
Cheers and your great work is much appreciated.
Read Answer Asked by Harry on April 27, 2020
Q: I know u are more about stock but my question is do u think I should change all my Canadian dollars not invested into US funds. Right now about 50/50 in Canadian stocks and US stocks. With Oil being down the growth in US stocks seem much higher to me. I understand just your opinion..
Read Answer Asked by brian on April 27, 2020
Q: I hesitate to ask because I find that some of your subscribers expect you to answer questions which are far from your stated ambit, but at the risk of being lumped in with them let me go ahead anyway. Would you know if the Government of Canada published a budget for 2020-2021, and if so, did it change the capital gains tax formulation? Many thanks.
Read Answer Asked by TOM on April 27, 2020
Q: IF and that is a big IF we have all missed the bottom on American larger caps should I be now focusing on US small caps and International markets? When I look at SPY and VIG all th money has jumped into American large caps and more or less erased the huge loss and pairs back some of my gains from 2019...so huge collapse gone...for now. I've topped up some VIG but missed on SPY. When I look at US small caps they are lagging and I assume this is due to the higher risk and lower volume, Same story for Europe, International and emerging markets. So my question is should I be shifting to adding IWO, XEF, and VE. I need to add some international content to my portfolio anyways as I am a bit light at 12% international ( developed) and 10% emerging markets. If you agree or don't strongly disagree what ETFs do you recommend right now ( I already hold the one mentioned). I am leaning toward a bit of IWO and larger positions in VE and XEF.

5 year window, high but slowly lowering risk tolerance, Balanced portfolio follower ( shifting slowly to income follower), overweight canada (40%) and US(40%) ,
Read Answer Asked by Tom on April 24, 2020
Q: Are you believer's that there will be a double bottom? I am seeing mixed comments on this. Obviously I know you cannot predict the future, but wondering what the likelihood would be of testing the lows seen in March. What rationale do you have for your thoughts?

Thanks so much for your wisdom, expertise, and sound advice as it continues to help me navigate these uncharted waters.
Read Answer Asked by Justin on April 23, 2020
Q: Hi there, I saw a long term chart the other day of the S&P500 and how the market typically bottoms, relative to the spike in the VIX. In past recessions/corrections, it appeared that the market tended to bottom out about 2 to 3 months after the VIX has spiked. Based on your experience, do you see this happening again this time around? If so, that would approximately give a mid May to mid June bottom. Do you see this pattern to likely repeat or is it this different this time in your opinion and what would the reasoning be?

Thanks for your input and guidance!
Read Answer Asked by Michael on April 23, 2020