Investment Q&A

Q: Any thoughts on the fear of an increase on the capitol gains inclusion percentage being raised and the influence on the current stock market dip.

Q: Pardon my ignorance if I’m missing something with this question. I understand that the market worries about leveraged companies in an inflationary environment, and that is a legitimate concern with real consequences. But at the same time, as the price (in dollars) per unit of value increases, so must the price of those same companies that have a tangible value. Holding a company whose stock price might decline in the short to medium term due to market worries but whose fundamental value will eventually be measured in more dollars (ie a higher share price) due to that same inflation seems a whole lot better than holding cash whose buying power erodes as the price per unit of value increases. Is that a fair argument?

Q: Not a question, just an observation. Evergrande is in the (mainstream) news again this AM Dec 9. Blackrock is being reported as being the second-largest institutional holder of Evergrande shares, and I wondered what impact there might be on my portfolio specifically as regards my holdings in XAW. In looking on Blackrock's site for XAW's holdings, I found that out of total XAW holdings of $3.8 billion, Evergrande accounts for a mere $21 thousand, less than 0.01%.
I haven't looked at other iShares ETF's, but as far as XAW is concerned -- I'm not worried.

Q: Good day.

What are your thoughts on Evergrand. Which markets would you suggest would feel the default

Are there Canadian stocks to stay away from

Thank you as always for all your terrific research

Q: What’s your guess behind the big move in the Nasdaq yesterday? Were you surprised with such a big pop in one trading session? With info leaking that Omnicron Variant is as bad as Delta, what’s your forecast for the remainder of the year and moving forward?
Cheers

Q: With the 30 year US bond flirting with 1.7% I am wondering what 5i's take is relative to the current discussion about inflation and the taper. Conventional wisdom would suggest selling bonds should tend to move rates up as would expectations of higher inflation.
Thanks in advance.
Mike

Q: Hi
The income model portfolio contains about 2% fixed income/bonds. Is the model portfolio meant to be followed as it is or are investors to decide on their own allocation to fixed income/bonds? I have been disappointed in my bonds. I know they can help soften the blow in a market crash but this is pretty expensive insurance so to speak. What is your position on bonds? Should one be increasing their bonds at this point in the market?
Thanks

Q: Looking forward to 2022 I think there is a recession coming at us. (Personal Opinion). Looks to me that growth companies are going to continue to face severe headwinds. I also think industrials, financials, energy, and health care will be the sectors that will start to outperform others. Of course I'm open to debate regarding my choices and welcome your opinions. However, I would appreciate 3 or 4 examples of companies that you believe are set up to outperform in these sectors. If I've missed any sector please feel free to add your ideas. Thanks for your valued suggestions.

Q: Do you think that Nasdaq stocks are now more attractive as a result of the steep drop in U.S bond yields.

Q: Hi Team,
My stock portfolio has dropped a gut wrenching 12% just this week alone, and 27% since august. All while the index's are near highs. I am aware most my stock holdings are aggressive tech names, but I am confident they are all best in breed names. I hold many of 5i US tech name favorites as well as some cnd. Its's a bloodbath like I haven't seen since the initial sell off when covid hit. At that time, I remember 5i came out with a very good "near bottom" report advising subscribers the end may be "near". As I recall it was very close! Thank you for that! What I am asking now is...will you issue such a report when the time comes as to when to potentially add to high growth tech names that have been crushed on no merritt of their own? Or can you say now if that time is near? And what stocks, either US or Cnd would you be adding to for 5yr plus holds that have the potential to make an exceptional recovery? I know this is a crystal ball question but your track record is good in my eyes! Thanks for your service. Look forward to some "calming" advice.

Q: On 25 Nov my portfolio dropped 2.4%.
On 30 Nov my portfolio dropped 2.7%.
On 30 Nov, still stinging from the 2.4% drop, I was watching the 5i questions but nobody was asking about the stock rout. I assume most investors were reviewing their positions to see what their exposure was.
I didn't do anything at all. But I kept watching for questions and related guidance.
Can I have your advice on what to do on a day like yesterday, where Bloomberg said futures fell due to Omicron so this was a forecast I could have acted upon. Also, the Fed was said to be more hawkish due to inflation and was going to accelerate completion of its bond buying program. Probably a few other significant factors. In this type of market, did I do the right thing? Or should I have been trading my riskier positions yesterday? My intuition says I should have done more earlier, but when I saw no related questions coming, I assumed investors were busy trading to have less exposure.
Just a few thoughts from the wounded.

Q: Hi 5i Team!
Wondering with the new variant if anything has changed in terms of your outlook on stocks going forward. When faced with lots of volatility if one has a well diversified portfolio, relies on dividends for income and has a long time frame until retirement can a buy and hold strategy be adopted? With so many investments I would never be able to time the perfect exit, know when to rebuy, so I just buy and hold. I know you are not fans of stop losses, nor am I, but do you also ride out bear markets and hold investments rather than sell and reenter. Your thoughts would be most appreciated. Thank you!

Q: I have noticed that trading volumes of most of the stocks, except energy stocks, are down significantly today although the overall market is up quite a bit. This trend has been consistent in the last few days. Is it indicating any ominous event that might happen or is it just a normal event?

Q: Do you have an opinion as to approximately when at year-end the selling of beaten down stocks for harvesting capital losses is generally sufficiently exhausted that one can consider stepping in where desired? If so, would your opinion be the same for US and Canadian markets?

Q: Morning Peter and Team,

Would you please shed some lights on what both the Canadian and US markets were like during periods of high inflation (touching double digit) in early 1980s.

Also how do see the markets will react now if inflation continues on its current path of 4 to 5% annually. Please name sectors that would benefit from relatively high inflation and sectors to avoid.

Cheers,
H

Q: Hi Peter.

Many of my and other high growth stocks have taken a beating. Many of them down more than 50-60% plus off their highs. However, the DOW and the NASDAQ don’t seem to have taken a tumble of that proportion.
My concern is that if this is truly a “bust “ as some pundits are calling it out to be and the indices like the S& P etc are due for further drawdowns, that could result in these hard hit high growth stocks going even down further.
In simple terms, how does 5 I see this playing out.? By stopping to taper, is the Fed creating another bust as they shore up liquidity?
Thanks

Q: So, it looks like the US has expanded their money supply (M2) by 40% over the last 18 months. That's 40% of all money "printed" since 19681 Firstly, that seems like a terrifyingly huge expansion and I'm hoping I've got it all wrong, but if that is the case, it would seem the amount of money floating around the system needs to eventually find a home which would likely lead to a significant bull market for quite some time.

How would you interpret the mid and long term effects on the stock market as a result of the most significant monetary expansion in the history of the US? Have we seen the bulk of the effect already baked into the market?

Q: Should investors be concerned about the current valuation of most companies in the stock market? Investors like Michael Burry have been warning about the consequences of overvaluation in the markets. Thanks

Q: When the 2009 financial crisis hit, governments used significant fiscal stimulus which set off a huge bull market.
My questions are:
1) how many years of a bull market was this responsible for?
2) should we expect a similar bull market duration from the 2020 market crash and resulting stimulus due to Covid?

Q: High inflation numbers have come out--what do you think? Do you believe we are entering a higher inflation world, and if so, what (i) sectors and (ii) specific stocks would you emphasize for that? Thank you!