Investment Q&A

Q: In the current market environment with high inflation, lower growth, risk of recession and war, if you were building a portfolio today for income/growth what sectors would you avoid entirely, if any? And, if one was building the portfolio today what percent would you allocate to each area that you are suggesting? Thank you!

Q: hello 5i:
I'm asking for help in understanding current rate expectations and the way forward.
Given that the current Fed Funds rate is 1% and given that the future Fed Funds rate is expected to rise to 3.5%, it seems that interest rates, or expectations of interest rates, seem close to peaking. Would you agree?
If so, it seems bonds might become much more investable. Would you agree or disagree, and in either scenario, what is your opinion and the results on the bond market?
Would the results of a future Fed Funds rate of 3.5% not push us directly into recession?
I am also supposing (please confirm) that the Canadian path forward (although with higher rates) will directly follow US rates.
thanks for the economic primer
Paul L

Q: In the next say 2-5 years I would expect the US Fed to reduce its balance sheet on the order of 10 Trillion dollars while at the same time increasing interest rates. Most other central banks around the world are likely to do the same. With this as the backdrop I expect the markets in general to take another leg down from here (after some kind of rally). What is your take?

Q: 2 weeks ago Jamie Dimon, chairman of JP Morgan commented that he was expecting a challenging environment ahead. Then last week he revised his outlook to Hurricane conditions which JP Morgan is preparing for, partly to do with current conditions and the commencement of deleveraging. Pretty strong words from such a prominent figure. Any thoughts/comments/advise from you guys?

Q: Can u explain how buying on margin affects the market? Both upside and downside
Also what part do margins play in the big swings
we have seen in the past few months both on the downside mostly and the upside
Thanks

Q: Hi, could I have your view of Jamie Damon’s comments this past week. Pretty bleak from the CEO of one of the world’s largest banks. Thanks,

Q: I would like to get your expert opinion on where you see interest rates headed over the next 5 years? And have your view on stop loss orders changed?
Thanks

Q: I'm hearing more and more about a looming global food crisis, largely due to the unfortunate situation in Ukraine and its impact on grain shipments. Apart from fertilizer companies, what other options do you feel would be good expressions for a global food shortage investment thesis?

Q: Could you comment on the lift we see this week on whether it is sustainable or if it's a bear market bounce? And why?

Thank you

Q: Since the market has no appetite for growth companies driven by acquisition, should we sell and invest in something else and wait for it to return.

Q: Bonds are usually a safety haven when markets are in turmoil
In this present market environment bonds have lost value instead of being a stabilizer
What is the reason for this and is there likely to be a turnaround for bonds and if so when could that happen ?
Thanks

Q: Hi Team,
Today seen some big % moves by many growth/ tech names; which seemed to come out of no where. Overall, what is your sense on where we are in this pullback? Is it time to start buying some beat down tech names? This being said, if you feel a person should be doing some buying at this time; what are your most convincing buys from todays levels? Some of the stocks I was looking at are SHOP (currently not owned), or add to either of this list which I currently own all: ATZ, TOI, U, RBLX, SQ. Currently I feel like we are watching a major buying opportunity unfold before our eyes...similar to oil stocks a couple years ago and feel I might regret not adding some new funds at this point to some high quality tech names that have been sold off some 50-75% in many names. Also, generally speaking; if a person is looking at holdings that are down say 60% (which I am with RBLX,U, APPS)...should we be doubling down? It seems if not it's almost hopeless to break even from these excessively sold off levels. Deduct as many credits as necessary. Thanks
Shane.

Q: With the ongoing markets volatility which markets sectors would be a reasonably safe to invest at this time? Thank you.

Q: How is GDP and its growth measured ; by $ amount or # of units ?
For example, if GDP growth is 3.1 % dollar growth but inflation is 5.1% is the economy not contracting?

Unit measurement seems to be the more accurate measurement.

Thanks. Derek

Q: What do you think of Harry Dent and his 86% market crash prediction for later this year.

Q: hi,
if you were forced to read the tea leaves, where do think the downside levels are for the TSX, Dow, Nasdaq, S&P from here, before we reset and begin grinding upwards again? cheers, chris

Q: It's hard to identify the market "bottom" in a timely manner, of course, but what might be the best indicators that a sustained recovery has probably begun or is soon to begin? Are there some good bellwether stocks to watch for this purpose? Are there other indicators, such as particular market indexes, or volume or volatility measures, or "mood" surveys, or economic statistics? Where should the primary focus be?

Q: I would appreciate your comments about the oft used term “momentum”. Once the markets do bottom, all of us, like it or not, will or should be momentum traders.

Q: Do you pay attention to all negative headline fueled by wallstreet strategists who seems to become negative after such a bad start. In december, almost all of them were somewhat positive albout the prospect of 2022.

Q: The only commodity I see that has bust is lumber from 1250 to 650....If inflation lingers (high key component commodity prices) for 6 -12 months while the Fed raises interest rates to damper economic expansion , a V shape recovery seems less likely.The losers I've sold has been creamed by further 25-50% down side(eg. ANRG,PINS,TFII).....How does the DYIer protect/invest his capital within a portfolio given a U shaped recovery? Are there some better performers/sectors that lead the way out of this mess?