Investment Q&A

Q: Sir: What 2 US and Canadian stocks or ETFs do you see most unfairly punished now, and most likely to reward , down the road. Also could you suggest one non US value ETF or stock that cheers you a lot? Thanks-JP

Q: How does the BBB affect Canada?

Sheldon

Q: The US is on the verge of approving the BBBill which, according to the CBO and other analysts, will add massively to the US debt. and commensurate debt service questions.I know that we have fretted for decades about US indebtedness and it's been an ongoing nothing burger as the US keeps chugging along, leaving Canada and other markets in its wake. However, this time, the debt charts forecast skyrocketing debt, not a gradual increase at all. If, or when, interest rates climb, is this not a disaster waiting to happen or Is this time different? How can we tell if/when it's time to reduce our US exposure? Is the bond market our only reliable barometer? What are your thoughts on this unprecedented development? What should small retail investors be watching out for and what moves, if any should we be considering? Many thanks.

Q: Hello, I have been thinking about initiating a long-term position (6-10yrs) in Costco for a while now.

My long-held view of the US dollar remaining strong and stable has changed; I have resolved to continue holding my US dollar securities through whatever this is but not buy more US currency at this time.

The issue is whether to initiate a new position in:
1)COST using existing $US or
2)the Costco CDR in Canadian $

Which option, in your opinion, represents the best risk-adjusted return over the next:
A)6-10 years?
B)1-5 years?

Does your response for A) change for beyond 10 years?

I know there are way too many variables here for any ‘correct’ answers but it is still interesting to have 5i’s perspective.
Thank you. This is an awesome service!
-Trevor

Q: There is a lot of rhetoric coming out of Ottawa about going all in to boost the canadian economy with major growth projects, reduce internal trade barriers, and mitigate tariff impact. If this in fact all comes to fruition, do you think this would positively affect canadian ETF values and would this be a good time to buy into those? VDY for example.

Q: This is a general question to try and clarify many of your answers. Often when someone asks an opinion between to similar stocks the response comes down to both for diversification. I totally agree with diversification, however you also often comment that more than 20-30 positions is not necessary or manageable. I have struggled trying to have a balanced portfolio, including some income as well as growth and including all sectors. It doesn't seem possible. But your answers do make me consider other possibilities.

Thanks, Lyle

Q: Hello Team,
What do you think of the Canadian material sector going forward? Could I have your top two recommendations please.
Thanks!

Q: Peter, could you comment a little about yesterday’s piece of Scott Barlow in G&M about the 11 market aberrations - citing BMO chief economist Doug Porter? Thks

Q: Are there any theories related to the VIX at a very low level?

Thanks

Q: BNN's Keith Richards says this: "Stocks rising and bond yields rising are not compatible. Rising yields push bond prices lower. While bond and stock prices are not perfectly correlated, they normally keep a reasonably close pace. Currently we are seeing huge negative divergence.

Picture an alligator about to clamp its jaws down after opening wide. I call the divergence “Gator Jaws,” meaning that the price of stocks and price of bonds are moving in opposite directions. That will change by a falling stock market, or rising bond market (falling yields), or both – but it will change."

What does he mean by this? Do you agree with him?

Q: The BNN Guest today had the following to say - do you agree, and if so, can you suggest a way to mitigate this if an investor needs growth for retirement funding?

"Three of the largest stock market peaks over the last 60 years were in 1968, 2000, and early this year. Each of these peaks have also coincided with peaks in U.S. household equity holdings as a percentage of total financial assets. In 1968, the percentage reached 28 per cent and in 2000 it was 25 per cent. Today, it is around a record 30 per cent, surpassing prior peaks in 1968 and 2000.

Foreign investors also hold more U.S. equities as a percentage of their total financial assets than ever before. All this crowding by both foreign and domestic investors into the U.S. stock market has contributed to a rich valuation for the U.S. market. At the same time, as U.S. stocks have reached peak popularity, historical evidence suggests that whenever the valuation of the S&P 500 has reached its current level, the forward 10-year annualized return has averaged around zero. And if you think you can't do worse than zero per cent over 10 years, after the booming 1990s, the S&P 500 declined 23 per cent over the next decade."

Q: What are your top 3 sectors (ex tech) to invest in the US right now for the next 3 years ? I am looking to hold 3-5 years.

Please name your top 3 ideas (ranked if possible) in each of your preferred sectors for an investor with moderate to high risk appetite, regardless of market cap.

Thank you

Q: With tRUMP's 3 strike on Iran, how do you thing the US and Cdn stocks will react this Monday and for the rest of the week?.....Tom

Q: Good afternoon! I am a newbie to this site and am so excited to be part of the 5I community! My parents have been enjoying 5I for many years and are so thankful for the portfolio advice and great stock recommendations! I have now setup my portfolio and ran into some issues with the portfolio analysis. The P/E for some holdings seem inflated eg QQQI is 65. How is P/E calculated? And long-term expected return of current portfolio?

Thanks! Kevin

Q: What sectors would be your top pick for growth over the next year or two?

Q: Included in my previous question answered today for EEM thare was also a question regarding general allocation of funds. What would be your best allocation of funds in Bonds, US, Canadian and International allocation. Sorry if my question was not properly formulated.

Thank you
Yves

Q: Everyone, if you could suggest a book(s) or magazine or blog to a 20’s person about investing what would it be? Clayton

Q: Genius act being passed in the USA for stablecoins. Will this effect other, Crypto etc
Does 5I have any suggestion for stocks or wait & see. will it also effect payment type stocks. Tks 5i

Q: Ross Healy, who typically does not make sensational statements lightly, spooked me yesterday during a podcast interview with Amber Kanwar. He sees tech stocks dropping 60% which will invariably pull other types of stocks down for the ride. He suggests moving to gold... could you suggest a couple gold stocks with strong balance sheets? A mix of large, mid and small caps would be great. Thanks!

Q: What would you consider acceptable in a TFSA USD vs CAD percentages,
Would a balanced approach 50-70% CAD and 30-50% USD make sense or
if I keep 100% in only one what would be the justification if any
thank you