Investment Q&A

Q: What is your take on near to mid term inflation, rates and bond prices/yields based on proposed US tax cuts?

Q: Dear 5i team.

The common theory of interest rates decling was long bonds would benifit most. This does not appear to be the case currently, and I've seen some not so clear responses thus far in the Q+A. Please explain in further detial, why long bonds have not performed to this expectation thus far, and what you see as a catalyst for long bonds to perform as expected with possible future declining interest rates..

Many thanks for your help.

Q: If the S&P were to drop 5-7% as Fund Strat is suggesting between now and the end of November, are there any specific stocks or sectors that 5i thinks would be hurt the most.

FS has an enviable record of calling market trends accurately. And not being doom and gloomers. In fact they are still calling for further upside in total out to the end of the year.

Of course no one is right all the time. But I have been looking to raise some cash and this might be a good time to do so.

Thank you for your help.

Q: If Trump were to win the US Election he suggested he would create a Dept overseen by Elon Musk to reduce US spending by 1/3rd. One of his targets is Green Energy which clearly he would be happy to eliminate.

How would this affect Renewable Producers like BEPC. Northland Power. Algonquin and other TSX wind n Solar Producers with operations in the US as well as other Canadian Power Generators like Capital Power and Altagas?

Would Trump go as far as to reduce the mandated usage of corn based ethanol or this would not be a target as it would hurt the US Ag industry?

Q: With the US election coming up on Nov 5 2024 when there is going to be volatility, what are some companies on 5i's hit list?

Q: The Canadian Dollar has weakened against the US and is reaching relatively historic lows (for the last 10 years). For Registered accounts like an RRSP and TSFA where there are no tax implications of selling, would you support the switch from Non-hedged ETFs to CAD-Hedged ETFs? For example, the switch from XUU.CA to XUH.CA

Q: How do you see the Cdn and US market sectors reacting to a Democratic or Republican win.

Q: Hi 5i,
I've searched the miscellaneous question category back to early September and, surprisingly, haven't seen this or a related question:
It appears the chances of a Trump win in 10 days' time are at least 50/50. He has said he will impose 10-20% tariffs on everything the US imports. He has said he will look at the USMCA agreement, which could mean he'll just tear it up. There's no real reason to think he won't do the things he says he's going to do, and he may well do a whole bunch more, economically and trade related, that he hasn't talked about. Whatever actually transpires, his economic policy is likely to be very disruptive, both in the US and abroad. As Canada's largest trading partner (although we mean considerably less to the US, relatively speaking) the impacts could be significant here.
Do you agree the impact on Canada could be significant, what do you think the impact(s) might be and what, if anything, would you recommend a Canadian with a diversified portfolio of Canadian equities do to Trump proof the portfolio and reduce the shock?
Frankly, I'm worried ...
Thanks,
Peter

Q: Good morning. I have some sizeable gains in my U. S. unregistered account. Average for the portfolio is 32,5% in 2024 so far. Would you trim some names to sit on the sidelines until the dust from the election settles and hopefully rebuy at a lower price, considering taxes payable as well? Thanks David

Q: please list the 5 most negatively impacted Canadian companies(any industry) should Trump win the November 5th election thanks Richard

Q: In a portfolio with banks at 42% (TD, and National), energy at 35% (TC, Sobo, and Tourmaline) and consumer discretionary 16% (ATD), what companies would you suggest diversifying into? This is my husband's account and he buys and holds. He will be selling Telus and needs some options for telecommunications and more. Could he be more diversified? He is asking my advice but I appreciate hearing from you.

Many thanks.
V.

Q: Hi 5i,
The BoC announced the largest rate reduction in 15 years (not including during the pandemic) this morning, and since that announcement my well diversified portfolio has experienced its largest single day loss (right across the board) since I began managing my own investments 8 years ago.
I've been looking forward to today's announcement because I had thought it would lead to an increase in my portfolio value, but it seems to have had the opposite effect - in spades!
Can you explain what's going on? And should I be worried?
Thanks 5i.
Peter

Q: Is there a bond crash coming because of high government debt, particularly in the US? How do you see gold and energy markets performing in that kind of environment and are short term bonds even worth the risk? Or is this fear all over done and we just live with debt levels far beyond our ability to ever repay them?

Q: A have been listening to a lot of reputable professionals stating we will soon be entering years of low returns in the stock market. Can you let me know what data they are reviewing to make such comments?
Also, do you agree with this assessment?
Thanks

Q: I am hearing more comments that the market at new highs, a correction is overdue. Would you know if this so called overvalued market , sector specific and if so then which sectors are currently overvalued and which ones are under based on historical 10+ years.

Q: Hey 5i, Last Monday I sent the Sector question below to 5iRinfo because it was a question about the website not a stock. I didn't get a response back from 5i, so I'll ask the question again. I don't think I should lose a question credit for this question.

I am a current member and can't find on your website if 5i does a Stock Sector Weighting chart i.e. today on the TSX what stock sectors should we be Overweight, Neutral and Underweight in? Should I have a heavier weighting in Finance or Technology? I'm sure you get it! If this chart is not there and updated on a regular basis then it certainly should be!!
Thanks for your help.
Cheers,
Chris Thomson

Q: How to prepare for volatility and duties to exports.

Q: Good morning 5i
I noticed this morning that there was a question showing concern for the election and stocks. I am not thinking about selling out completely. But, I have considered selling everything that has to do with green energy. While I think it is important and necessary, it doesn’t look like Trump thinks so. And there looks like a strong possibility that he will be given another chance to see what he can do. So, the question is not about selling all but certain things, such as icln. How would you see that?
Thanks for your great help

Q: On October 1st, 5i answered a question which including this line "Historically, once the election results are in and the uncertainty has been removed, the markets tend to move higher into the rest of the year, regardless of the outcome." I can understand this happening historically but this is anything but a typical election compared to past elections. Trump is now speaking to the Economic Club of Chicago and again threatening high tariffs across the board. Sometimes you have to take what he says with a grain of salt but his Chinese tariffs in 2018 saw quite the pullback and that was nothing compared to what he's proposing. I'm up 20% this year with much credit to 5i. I know you don't like timing the market but I feel a need to safeguard much of my gains somehow (maybe 50% cash into CASH so it at least gives me a monthly dividend until the dust settles). Just looking for more of your thoughts here especially seeing there's a decent chance he may win. Thanks!

Q: The general message from MSM and other commentators is the US economy is strong despite inflation, higher interest rates (which has started to decrease), higher cost of goods etc. A friend of mine is trying to convince me the economy is tittering and the stock market gains this year are not based on valuation but mostly speculation; that we're either in a recession or seeing stagnation. The Center for Microenomic Data from Q2 2024 showed household total debt continues to rise, unemployment is creeping up (which can lead to lowering of inflation but the price of goods are still high), even if unemployment is low, how many people have 2+ jobs? and gold has been really performing well which could indicate continued inflation and even stagnation. My question is are there behind-the-scenes indicators such as above that people don't usually talk about indicating the US economy is in rougher shape than what is being reported?

Thanks