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Investment Q&A

Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.

Q: Can you please comment on the S&P500 valuation at the moment and going forward in this environment ? We keep hearing about the strong dollar which affects earning but it appears the index remains very high at close to 2000 (vs the last 5-10 yrs). Also, do you think the tsx will be closely correlated with the US index in the next 2-3 years. Thank you.
Read Answer Asked by Pierre on January 15, 2016
Q: Hi, although I have learned plenty since subscribing to your service about two years ago, iam now realizing that my portfolio consisting of about twlelve total stocks from your portfolio's, majority of which are growth stocks, that my beta is about two at least, Do u think I should rebalance or stay the course in this tough market? I can handle it but it is more difficult than I thought, I won't need the money for about five years, thanks?
Read Answer Asked by Pat on January 14, 2016
Q: Is it a good time to add to a diversified portfolio during these volatile times ? I have a long term horizon with limited exposure to stocks curently but the decline since the summer has been bad (oil and commodity mainly but many other names as well). I guess i worry that we could be in for another 20% drop and i have a lack of confidence in the market at the present time. Your comments are appreciated... If time to add, should i add to energy and materials as well ? Thanks
Read Answer Asked by Pierre on January 13, 2016
Q: What do you make of a market that starts with hundreds of points up and end with hundreds of points down or vice versa. From your experience is that an indication of bull, bear or nothing can be concluded from these actions. Does history give us any indication what to come or is this a normal gyration of the market and unpredictable investor's reaction?

Thanks
Read Answer Asked by Saad on January 13, 2016
Q: Hello I know how you recommend against trying to "time a bottom" especially when investing longer term. We have about 20% cash presently. Most pundits are saying "hold on" indicating it may be prudent to wait before putting cash to work. However, do you see any issue with adding a bit to existing positions where the stock is down significantly for no fundamental reason. For example, Chemtrade seems very cheap right now. Thanks for your thoughts. Bill
Read Answer Asked by Bill on January 13, 2016
Q: I'd like to get your response to the "Sell Everything!" headline in the Financial Post today, quoting an RBS report saying 2016 would e a 'cataclysmic year' for stock markets.
Read Answer Asked by John on January 12, 2016
Q: Would you consider a rethink on the growth portfolio not only regards the constituent holdings but the whole portfolio as a percentage of the total investment? I ask this in light of the increasing probability of the following economic conditions:
1. The oil price remains depressed for the entire year with the western provinces in recession and the Canadian GDP also contracts for two quarters or more.
2. The steep decline in shale production and the rate increase in the US would have a significant negative impact on the Russell Index IWO which maybe in bear territory?
Assuming that any given individual’s investment in the growth portfolio is according to her risk profile, would you suggest adjustments to the overall portfolio weight (increase or decrease) in proportion to the balanced and income portfolios; and the individual growth stocks for 2016? If you would, then can you please try to indicate exposure to specific sectors/regions/stocks?
Regards.
Read Answer Asked by Rajiv on January 12, 2016
Q: Just a comment: you like to repeat that we never had 10 year loss for any major market. Well, we are very close to this here in Canada: April 21, 2006 S&P/TSX Composite close was 12437, as I am writing this the index is 12241... While we don't have 10 year loss yet, we have 9 years and 9 months loss. Regardless whether we blame it on oil, Canadian bureaucracy and unions, or ignorant and corrupt politicians the fact remains that investing in stock market in Canada in the past 10 years was the worst mistake one could make...
Read Answer Asked by Michael on January 11, 2016
Q: Hi Friends! My question is more general in nature. Most people including myself have a very general understanding of how financial markets and government monetary policy works. In an extreme situation where there is a breakdown of the financial system how can an investor maintain some sort of reservoir of value in the event most traditional investments had little value for a period of time? Sort of extreme I know but I think many average investors wonder about this scenario. Ian
Read Answer Asked by Ian on January 11, 2016
Q: Hello.
Thanks for the quality reading about companies. This subscription has generated educational and financial benefits.

After review of many income and quality holdings held through 2015, I find myself questioning Portfolio Management strategies. While I attempt to have a long time horizon and focus on the company not the ticker, I have to question the practice of an Investor holding companies that rise nicely in price only to fall from high prices (pick any reit or quality income oriented investment).....essentially doing a round trip ..some into a negative position. (IPL, BEI, WSP, TCN, CGX will be there soon)

Often accompanying the Investor along this journey are comments like, good company, good to hold for income investors, fundamentals look good or the dividend should support the stock price.

Can you offer thoughts on the above general scenario and either how to overcome the sense of loss as stock prices tick lower for companies previously sporting gains or what alternative strategies/ Portfolio actions are out there (not trying to be a trader) to help reduce the downside action of a Retail Investor's portfolio?

Thanks for your efforts.
Dave
Read Answer Asked by David on January 07, 2016
Q: Shanghai index down 7% so trading suspended. Hong Kong & the 3 major European indexs down some 3%.The US futures also down sharply.Oil down 4%.Please advise us what to do.Always appreciate your usual great services & views.
Read Answer Asked by Peter on January 07, 2016
Q: Are we in a bear market? How should retail investors like myself position ourselves in the current environment? Thank you.
Read Answer Asked by Francis on January 07, 2016
Q: Could you please comment on the Chinese markets and how recent events may affect North American markets.
Read Answer Asked by Danny on January 07, 2016
Q: the recent data seems to suggest that the markets,reflecting the average stock,is in a bear market with growth slowing, and recent interest rates seem to be going lower to reflect that. If we are in a bear market, how does one make money, as opposed to preserve capital?
Read Answer Asked by john on January 06, 2016
Q: I read most of the questions and answers to help me stay informed with the market. Haven't read whether this is a long term correction in the market. James Hodgison, Curvature Hedge Funds seems pretty accurate as in December he predicted a bear market beginning in January. He is right. Vector Vest eventually will come on and say that they had told everyone to get out of the market in January. They predict history. What do you see happening in the next quarter? Thanks so much. Dennis
Read Answer Asked by Dennis on January 06, 2016
Q: Hello Peter and Team,

Happy New Year. I know this is an extremely general question... What do you see as the best investing opportunity or having the biggest upside for 2016? Things to consider could be companies that were quiet/unfairly beat up in 2016, or some momentum/general trends you see emerging this year. Feel free to make this company specific or an overall sector.

Thanks,

Jordan
Read Answer Asked by Jordan on January 04, 2016
Q: Happy New Year Peter and all at 5i.
Our diversification outside of Canada is through the 5i portfolio Canadian companies with such diversification (ATD, BNS, BOS, CSU, SJ, TCN etc). We don't have any US or Global domiciled stocks. Is this enough looking at 2016 or is it prudent to add some US or Global focus ? Also, we've always been impressed with Dennis Mitchell who now has 4 US/Global funds at Sprott. Though new funds, based upon Mr Mitchell's track record at Sentry, would you recommend any of these ? An alternative ? What percentage of a 5i based portfolio ? Sincere thanks for all your guidance in 2014 and 2015. All the Best in 2016 ! Paul
Read Answer Asked by Paul on January 04, 2016
Q: Here is an easy question (or not). Are we in a bull or a bear market? Obviously oil and the base and precious metals are in a bear, but if we take them out, is the rest of the market in a bull market?
Read Answer Asked by Christopher on January 04, 2016