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Investment Q&A

Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.

Q: On Friday there was a big rebound in the stock indexes after large early losses. I noticed that some stocks had big bounces off the day's low point, some rising 10% from the low of the day, whereas some stocks didn't bounce back much at all. Wondering if the big bounce back for some stocks indicates there is more investor support for longer term ownership of these stocks, and they should perform better, or is it just a one-off that doesn't really have any predictive value.
Read Answer Asked by Dan on November 11, 2025
Q: I’m interested in your thoughts on the effect a reversal of the US tariffs by the Supreme Court would have on the public markets.
Thank you for this great service.

Kevin
Read Answer Asked by Kevin on November 09, 2025
Q: Morning 5i,
Now that the details of the budget have been revealed (and although not a sure thing, assuming that it does survive the upcoming vote) could you identify the 5 names that you think will benefit most from a share appreciation standpoint until the next budget comes along in a year's time, along with your rationale for each.
Thanks 5i, and I look forward to your thoughts.

As a corollary to my recent question about names that will benefit most from the budget, could you also identify those names, if any, that you think might suffer most from the just released budgetary terms? (For example, I heard something about "predatory lenders" being restricted, and I wonder if GSY or PRL might meet the government's definition of predatory lender and, if so, what they are facing as a result.) But also, any other companies in other sectors that you think might face headwinds due to the budget.
Peter
Read Answer Asked by Peter on November 06, 2025
Q: What are your thoughts on the budget and the impact it may have on stocks in general? Is there anything in the budget that will have a specific positive impact on any of your list of growth stocks? If yes, can you indicate which stocks and what might be expected? Defence spending is big but I'm assuming this has been baked into defence based companies already.
Read Answer Asked on November 05, 2025
Q: Everyone, there is a lot of noise of a stock market decline. The stock market will decline, maybe more or less than anticipated, in the short term - it always does. What should you do if the market goes down 5%, or 10% or 20% or more. I have good stocks and don’t plan to sell - just watch and wait. Clayton
Read Answer Asked by Clayton on November 04, 2025
Q: I understand that your recommended portfolio allocation is one-third Canadian, one-third US, and one-third International. Could you share a bit more about the reasoning behind this approach?

Specifically, is the one-third Canadian portion meant to help limit the amount of Canadian companies in one’s portfolio, essentially to protect against being overallocated in your home country?

Similarly, if someone was based in the European Union would you recommend one-third EU, one-third US, and one-third International?

Thanks!
Read Answer Asked by Stefan on October 29, 2025
Q: Do you have any thoughts on how the Federal budget next week might affect Canadian stocks in general or specific stocks or sectors?
Read Answer Asked by Doug on October 29, 2025
Q: Good Day,

Michael asked a question on Oct 27 re: bubbles, and the financial post article you referenced as the answer is behind a paywall.

 Could you discuss some of your thoughts on what position you see the markets in with respect to a bubble?  I'm not sure if it's just that I've positioned myself (with 5i and the 5i forums' help) so well to capitalize on this years themes, but watching my investment accounts' total value rise like it has seems unsustainable.

Is gold flying because many are thinking the same?  Is it a good time to position for a correction/bear/recession?

Would "positioning defensively" consist of moving weighting to the income portfolio names (if it were you)?  Are there any other names you would add to (Non O&G/Financial, I'm flush there)?  

Thanks for helping us all navigate this wild ride!

James
Read Answer Asked by James on October 27, 2025
Q: Hi,

Thanks for your continued service!

Savalai asked about bubbles on October 21, 2025.

You laid out some criteria that could be used to determine if markets are in bubble territory.

If you were to assess each criterion where do you think markets stand?

Thank you, Michael
Read Answer Asked by Michael on October 27, 2025
Q: In a world marked by tariffs, volatility, widespread high debt, and a weak Canadian economy, what are the best 11 sector allocations for retired conservative investors? Thank you
Read Answer Asked by Gervais on October 22, 2025
Q: Dear Peter:

On surface this looks like a simple and even a "dumb" question. However I am struggling with this question as it impacts on not just my portfolio but almost everyone's!

What is a Bubble? Are there any acceptable definitions of a "Bubble"? Is Bubble a Technical Analysis based concept or a Fundamental Analysis based concept? Do they share any similarities? Is a Bubble applicable to all of the market or is it confined to just one domain? (Gold is in a Bubble but not Silver, not yet) Finally is the definition of a Bubble Static or Dynamic phenomenon? In other words what was a Bubble in 2000/2001 (dot com Bubble) is NOT a Bubble now!(AI phenomenon?)

Financial media gives a lot of opinions filled with "hyperbole"! "Sell now" we are in a Bubble! Others say, "No, wait till Gold hits 6000"!

It is important as one needs to sell or add in a prudent,well thought out and rational manner. Hence this question.
If you think this behooves not an answer but an article, so be it. I will wait! No problems.
Read Answer Asked by Savalai on October 21, 2025
Q: Hello Team 5i & Everyone,

Based on the metrics you watch, in your best estimation, do you feel that the US markets are in late cycle?

I’ve seen that there’s a “debate” that we’re either late cycle of this current run since the 2022 lows, or we’ve started a new cycle since the April 2025 low. Time will tell.

Thank you!

Sandra
Read Answer Asked by Sandra on October 20, 2025
Q: How do you view the current macro environment with respect to indicators that you follow. With the 20% spike in the VIX, do you view risk as elevated in the near term?
Read Answer Asked by Adam on October 17, 2025
Q: Good morning. There seems to be a growing amount of chatter about the market being in a bubble. If one accepts this premise, what would be your top 2 defensive sectors and top 5 defensive stocks to build positions in? Either Canadian or US. Thanks.
Read Answer Asked by David on October 17, 2025
Q: I would be very interested in 5i’s take on this NYT article. I try to stay away from the fear mongering, be wise and buy/hold good companies. I trust 5i after being a member from the beginning, and always come back here for an opinion, because there are too many opinions out there, and a person has to land somewhere or it’s too hard to navigate. I think we can all agree there is a correction coming sometime, and likely it’s necessary, but a 1929 type event? Please offer your ideas. Thanks! https://www.nytimes.com/2025/10/13/magazine/investing-private-equity-crypto-crash-1929.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare
Read Answer Asked by Kim on October 16, 2025
Q: What is your opinion on the recent statement by the IMF that markets could be headed for a disorderly correction given the current trade wars, increasing government debt, increased geopolitical tension and other risk factors?

Thanks Tim
Read Answer Asked by Timothy on October 16, 2025
Q: https://theconversation.com/todays-ai-hype-has-echoes-of-a-devastating-technology-boom-and-bust-100-years-ago-265492 How might one counter in their portfolio the risk of AI causing a market risk like electricity did in the great depression?
Read Answer Asked by Mark on October 16, 2025
Q: What is your current assessment on American intentions to effectively take over Canada by economic dismantling? It isn’t clear to what extent Canada will be able to withstand current tariff barriers and effectively ‘fight back’ for its own interests.
Read Answer Asked by Peter on October 09, 2025