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Investment Q&A

Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.

Q: This may seem like an odd question to some but I would like to make sure I actually understand what is being said rather than assuming I do. On business shows guests say, in different ways, they have increased their cash positions or decreasing their equity exposures. Although such statements might seem rather straight forward, can they actually have different meanings depending on who is saying it? All kinds of guests appear from pure 100% equity fund managers to individuals actually managing diversified portfolios for clients.

Assume one is operating with a vision of a fully invested portfolio having 40% fixed assets which includes their cash portion and 60 % equities.

When guests generally talk of decreasing their equity exposure or increasing cash positions is there a standard meaning? Say someone cut their equity exposure by 10%. Would that typically mean their equity position has decreased to 50% (60%-10%) or does it mean they reduced it by 6% (60% X 10%) to 54%? Conversely, how might one interpret a 10% increase in cash?
Some managers talk of maintaining gold positions. If a balanced portfolio manager referred to a 5% weighting in gold would that generally mean 5% of the total portfolio or the equity portion (60% X 5%=3%)?

Needless to say, substitute a higher number and it would make for meaningful differences depending on how you calculate things? Listening to some business show guests, I get the impression it does not always mean the same thing but no elaborations are ever asked by interviewers.

Could you please clarify what is generally meant? Thank you.

Mike
Read Answer Asked by Michael on September 07, 2017
Q: Greetings 5i Research,

It has been said that it would be easier to turn a Newfoundland fisherman into a top banker than the other way around.

When I graduated in 1965, top dental incomes equaled top Canadian bankers' incomes. Today, top bankers earn more in two weeks than top earning dentists do in one year.

What happened? Was the investment in my education a poor choice?

(Not that anyone should feel sorry for dentists who, as a group, have replaced physicians and surgeons as Canada's top earners.)

Thank you for your well-thought-out answers to all my previous questions.

Milan
Read Answer Asked by Milan on September 05, 2017
Q: I want to give my take on DFN, a split share investment vehicle. I realize 5i and probably every other good financial advisor does not favor this vehicle and would not buy this for their clients. Yet people are buying this product every day.

Please let me know how sound these thoughts are or if you have anything to add.

As an investment DFN is a road full of potholes. For one thing, the dividend could be cut off completely for as long as two years, although DFN has never discontinued its dividend. Along with that, the share price could plunge 30% or more. As well, the share price will probably degrade over the years.

Who would benefit from DFN? Someone who absolutely needs the 11% dividend every month in order to pay the bills.

However, they need to be cushioned against the potholes. They need a mental cushion that will allow them to withstand sharp drops in the share price, as well as survive a disappearance of the dividend for possibly as long as two years.

Therefore, besides the right mental attitude, they need a cash back-up that would replace an absence of the dividend for two years. On a 100k investment they would need about 20k in cash to replace two years of cancelled dividends.

They also need to realize that at the end of the day, perhaps only half of their original investment may be passed on to heirs.

I can see people in their 70s and 80s who are prepared for the aforementioned potholes buying DFN, so there may be a demographic tailwind holding up DFN for the next several years. Thank you for allowing my view to be heard, and I appreciate your response.

Read Answer Asked by Jerry on September 05, 2017
Q: Hi Peter and Associates,

I hear some talk of tax selling as early as August? Some professionals speak of setting up their portfolios to avoid and/or to take advantage of year end tax selling pressures? Some sectors and/or specific stocks have seen modest to significant declines this year and risk seeing above average volumes of yearend tax loss selling?

Many experts do not suggest trying to time the market but also talk of good entry points to initiate a position if not starting with partial ones to begin. Then there are those who factor in seasonality or other technical indicators. Without wanting to sound pessimistic, more than a few guests on business programs express caution, have increased cash weighting to have dry powder in reserve.Markets are not seen as cheap but opinions vary as what to do?

Bottom line, market corrections are part of reality and one has not occurred in some time? What percentage cash might be viewed as a reasonable cushion for a middle of the road risk investor with a 65/35 (Equity/ Fixed Income) objective who would prefer to reduce equity exposure by building up some cash reserves at this time? What suggestions might you have in response to the above and specifically, what reduction in equity exposure might be reasonable and/or sufficient to have substance? Assume a 5% weight in gold forms part of the overall strategy and a sufficiently large portfolio to provide diversification and no over weightings within it.

Fundamentally, are there any specific strategies an investor might use or at least consider in the last months of any year and more specifically this year?

Thank you.

Mike
Read Answer Asked by Michael on September 01, 2017
Q: I recently heard an investment advisor outline the importance of diversifying beyond “public” equity and also invest in “private” equity (he was quoting the huge amount of private equity that public pension plans typically hold). Do you agree with this thesis and do you have any suggestions on how a retail investor could invest in private equity? Would buying a company like Onex be a good way to gain exposure to private equity?
Read Answer Asked by Steven on September 01, 2017
Q: Hi, what is the business sentiment in Canada among CEOs and business owners vs a couple years ago?
It seems everywhere in the news lately that Canada is just not as an effective and attractive place to do business with its increasing bureaucracy and threats of increasing taxes. From Ontario, where the high utilities are impacting manufacturing, to Alberta and BC where the anti-oil brigade seems to be determined to kill any new O&G, LNG and pipeline investment.
Is the news painting an accurate picture? Are CEOs and business owners more/less positive with trying to perform and grow their business in Canada in the current environment?
Read Answer Asked by Curtis on August 30, 2017
Q: Debt: What is a reasonable and safe amount of debt for a company to have? Does it depend on the type of company? I'm looking for a guideline. I realize telecoms carry higher debt. Also, I noted that you pointed out with Encana (ECA) "debt is still more than 4X cash flow".
Read Answer Asked by Helen on August 29, 2017
Q: Just a comment on the changes to the ex-dividend date due to T+2 settlement in Canada and USA from September 5, 2017. Your members may find it useful.

Starting September 5, the ex-dividend date will move one day ahead (only one day before record date). So for instance in the month of August - record date is Aug 31 - ex dividend date is Aug 29.

In September for record date Sept 29 (Since 30 is a Saturday), the ex-dividend date will be Sept 28.

From the CCMA website:

(Added February 22, 2017) Will there be any T+2 impact on record and payable dates?

In Canada, the ex date on declared events such as dividends or other distributions will become one business day prior to record date instead of two business days prior. The exchange on which a security is listed provides the exdate to CDS, and CDS populates the date into its system. In the U.S., there will likewise be a one-day change.


If you want to read up more there is documentation and Qs at the following websites:

US T+2: http://www.ust2.com/questions/

Canada T+2: http://ccma-acmc.ca/en/faq/
Read Answer Asked by Mayur on August 29, 2017