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Investment Q&A

Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.

Q: Hi team,
It is February and time to use another credit. I think I will ask a more general question rather than a stock specific one as most of my equity questions are asked by other subscribers, which is good thing.

I have U.S. accounts that augment each of my Canadian accounts (Cash, RRSP, TFSA). From time to time, I want to transfer some more cash to one of my U.S. accounts. I hesitate at times because of the approximately 2% FX charges that I incur from TD. I suspect most banks charge around the same rates.

I think I recall a few months ago a Q&A on the same subject but I can’t locate it. I think there was a strategy of buying a major Cdn stock such as a bank (where I am typically heavy, along with tech) and offsetting it with another transaction. I am not looking for any exotic approach, as I like to keep things simple, but if it saves me from incurring some FX charges I might consider it. Please advise.

Thanks again,
dave
P.S. Welcome Barkha.
Read Answer Asked by Dave on February 16, 2018
Q: Tony Seba's video paints a picture of massive disruption coming by 2020ish. His thesis is that the convergence of electric and autonomous vehicles, solar efficiency, etc. will disrupt many industries and especially transportation and energy business models.

Have you seen any of these types of projections? It’s a bit of a longer video but you might take a peek at it particularly near the end where he connects the dots.

If true, we had best be getting out of pipelines and rethinking renewable energy, let alone the many other industries that this may impact. For example, if people reduce significantly their purchase of vehicles and simply allow autonomous vehicles to drive us around, we won’t need nearly as many parking lots, and this will free up land for housing in urban areas.

Is this guy credible? Any thoughts?

Best regards ... Kirk

https://youtu.be/2b3ttqYDwF0

Read Answer Asked by Kirk on February 13, 2018
Q: Although experts appear to need to constantly leave some measures of doubt, there are overwhelming signs a lot of these massive swings are electronically induced and some forms of ETFs the catalysts with the wishing hour all too predictable. I also find indigenous how clear calculations are presented to how each 1/4% rise means important profits to some industries but when it comes to those which are hurt, no hard numbers only a herd response of bad and avoid! Are not rising rates a sign of a better economy? Consider the avoid list: Electricity and heating, rents, telco bills they do not rise? Fundamentally, is not the formula I/R =V? So only the" R" is going up and the "I" at banks? Are analysts raising/ reducing their target prices on interest sensitive stocks while their prices are falling precipitously and yields rise close to typical average market returns over an extended period? It may be coming but any recent published downgrades I have access to are not sounding loud alarm bells or screaming "FIRE"!

Odd, overtime US TV specials on what is occurring and one of the how to protect yourself go toes is to consider the fundamentals of the stocks you own? It sounds good but to be polite very misguided momentum thinking stills seems to override any sense of good basic underwriting principles. How surprising, currently at the top of the BUY list by the experts putting their two cents in: Invest in companies that benefit from high volume trades! Well that is where the momentum is clearly positive!

Do I have a question? Actually yes, are there ways or signals to indicate the factors which are causing such volatility have burned themselves out and the shakeout over? Values which actually represent investing opportunities? It may be sound cynical but is there any hope of getting back to some resemblance of investing where fundamentals rather than financially engineered products are the real catalysts ruling markets or should we expect one calamity to the next ? Clearly no person can compete with AI programmed responses that override all else!

It would seem due diligence by doing your homework is no longer at the top of making a decent return and more importantly keeping it. Things do not only go in one direction, that is understandable but, what is currently going on, certainly cannot enhance the US system or its markets which again seems at the root of the problem impacting many, if not all markets!

Any insights you wish to make would be gratefully appreciated. Thank you.

Mike

Read Answer Asked by Michael on February 12, 2018
Q: I have a question about bond yields and interest rates. I just read an article on marketwatch saying that the 10 year bond yield "has an effect on all parts of the economy, as it influences everything from borrowing costs for the smallest and biggest companies, to rates for fixed and adjustable mortgages, car loans and credit cards".

I think i understand how it impacts borrowing costs (firms that need to issue new debt have to pay more?) but I thought the fed rate is what influences the prime rate which effects adjustable mortgages and other loans.

I understand that a higher yield on bonds makes some stocks less attractive in comparison (like dividend stocks) but i don't get how the 10 year bond yield is so important/scary for the market.

Could you please explain?
Read Answer Asked by Arthur on February 12, 2018
Q: I am curious in your experience in the past with similar corrections 10% or more. What are the companies that benefit from the eventual recovery? Is it the companies hit hardest in the correction that rebound or the companies that weather the storm and continue to outperform?
Read Answer Asked by justin on February 12, 2018
Q: What are the pros/cons of holding Canadian companies, e.g. banks, in US markets instead of Canadian markets for non-registered accounts?
Read Answer Asked by Joel on February 12, 2018
Q: 5I
When looking at a company's ability to pay a dividend the common ratio people look at is the dividend payout ratio. However from reading some of your information over the years I realize there is much more to it that that. Can you please list the other important factors such as interest coverage, free cash flow etc. Listing them will be fine. I will search and come up with the calculations and then go to the financial statements.

Thank you

Paul
Read Answer Asked by paul on February 12, 2018
Q: Today in a question from John he asked about spreadsheets, I too was looking but in fact Action Direct can provide the info he is looking for. Under the My Portfolio tab, click on Analyze and Rebalance, in there you can create a group of all your accounts. Once you have a Group, sector weightings and position size is one click of the mouse. I wouldnt waste my time or yours with this submission except for the fact this knowledge has been a bit of a game changer managing my portfolio - keeping sector weights and position size in line.
Read Answer Asked by Charles on February 08, 2018
Q: Hello Peter,

I just read your article entitled "Five Signs That This Market Party Might Be Winding Down" in the February 2, 2018 issue of the Financial Post.

In this article, you advise that, "Like any good party, there does come an appropriate time to leave." Specifically, you say that if the economic climate changes to a situation with increasing inflation and slower growth, "this would be a sure sign to get out of the market for a period of time."

I have only been a member of 5i Research for a few months, but I have extensively read through your answers to all questions, the blogs, etc., on the website. You consistently advise members that market timing usually doesn't work. This article seems to contradict one of your key tenets of successful long term investing. Has your philosophy changed, or am I misunderstanding something?

Thanks.

Brad










Read Answer Asked by Bradley on February 05, 2018
Q: I have been administering a 7 figure + portfolio for a good friend. At Christmas he asked me to liquidate $1M as he was feeling nervous. Given the events of last week it may have been a prescient call! In any case I am charged with finding a good short term home for the money and thus have been delving deeper into the fixed income world. There I have encountered "Bankers Acceptances." May I have your views?

Kim
Read Answer Asked by Kim on February 05, 2018