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Investment Q&A

Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.

Q: Trying to think of away to avoid two mistake made recently, or at least increase odds of avoiding in future.

PHM purchased and then up over 100% in few weeks/months, then down to minus 30%-50% range few weeks/months later.

CXR purchased and then up over 70% in few weeks, then down to minus 30%-50% range in a few more months.

Gross losses manageable as portfolio weighting was responsible.

PHM I guess fundamentals did not justify the increase and was popular stock at time is best thought I can think of and maybe a soft sell signal?

CXR seemed to go up on short covering, then down dramatically, then slightly back up on takeover rumours. No idea what to have done differently on this one. Feel like the CEO and CFO just dishonest on it.

Ideas? Lessons?
Read Answer Asked by John on August 12, 2016
Q: A year ago, Knight signed a deal to distribute 3 of Advaxis's products in Canada and bought about 400,000 shares at $13.91, a premium at the time from the Advaxis treasury. The shares tanked to $5, recovered to $8 and have jumped %6 to $14 in the past 3 days on the announcement that Amgen bought worldwide rights to another Advaxis drug and gave them $40 Million. This will help Knight as the shares appreciate but will it hurt their deal on the other 3 drugs they represent as Advaxis may concentrate on the behemoth deal with a super-large pharma co. and neglect their other products.
Knight's share price has help up well during the healthcare decline. Do you think they will one day do a big deal or continue to drip out their $600M in miniscule does? I am sure this company will be a blockbuster some day, but I may not live long enough to see it!
Thanks.
Read Answer Asked by Steven on August 05, 2016
Q: I would like to increase my investment in the Canadian health care sector. I am looking for yield. What are your top recommendations? I already have enough Sienna (SIA) and Chartwell (CSH.UN). Pharmaceuticals and laboratories interest me.
Read Answer Asked by Carl on August 04, 2016
Q: I am sure by now 5i must roll its collective eyes at the sight of another CXR question.
I don't own the stock but find it fascinating. Some analysts predict 2017 earnings to be $4-5 per share or even higher. Globeinvestor has their debt to equity at about 3x. My questions are these:
1. what is the major risk that the anticipated earnings don't materialize? gov't intervention? or is there fear that like Valiant there may be some misrepresentation on the books?

2. if debt to capital is 3x, that would mean that there is approx. $60 of debt per share, given a $20 share price. correct?

3. if they are paying an average of 5% interest on their debt, wouldn't interest alone eat most of their earnings? i.e. $3 per share would go just to interest. seems like it would take a very long time to get out of debt.

4. seems like it will be almost impossible for this company to grow by acquisition for a long time, given the environment. almost like a game of musical chairs where the music has stopped for a final time and there is no reason now to own the stock other than value. true?

Thanks for your patience with us as we try to figure this market out.

Cheers
John

Read Answer Asked by john on August 03, 2016
Q: http://investors.cvshealth.com/~/media/Files/C/CVS-IR-v3/documents/02-aug-2016/2017-standard-formulary-list-of-removals-and-updates.pdf

This may be another part of the reason for the sell-off today. Nilandron appears to have been added to the list of drugs to be removed at CVS for 2017 due to hyperinflation. I'm not sure of the implications as far as the percent of Nilandron historically sold through CVS. I would assume they'd re-negotiate pricing and take a bit of a hit?
Read Answer Asked by Mark on August 03, 2016