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Investment Q&A

Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.

Q: Good day

I will like your assistance on guiding my investment decision. I have read your report on Knight Therapeutics. After Knight has deployed its war chest($736,000,000), you are forecasting earnings per share of $0.59, plus the EPS for the last quarterly report of 0.06$. If earnings grow at 15% per year for the next 5 years, then in 2022, EPS will be :

2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

$0.65 $0.75 $0.86 $0.99 $1.14 $1.31

I am assuming cash is deployed this year, the share count remains constant and investors in 2022 are willing to pay 15 times EPS. If this scenario holds, then in 2022, the share price should trade at around $20 (1.31 X 15). At current price ($10.60), this scenario would result in an annual rate of return for the next five years of 13.1%. Are you comfortable with my scenario or would you change some of my parameters ?

Gilles
Read Answer Asked by Gilles on May 01, 2017
Q: This is basically just an opinion but I think that last week the action with CRH was an example of what you really mean by volatility. The the 5 to 10% that happens some days for no good, obvious reason are to be expected in a growth portfolio and are just a healthy fluctuation in a share price. Such fluctuations actually strengthen the stock. Comment ?
Thanks for your support
Clarence
Read Answer Asked by Clarence on May 01, 2017
Q: Sorry another comment that Members owning CRH may find comforting and certainly shows the clear difference between it and Valeant/Concordia:

"At March 31, 2017 , the Company had $9,232,240 in cash and cash equivalents compared to $9,507,004 at the end of 2016. The decrease in cash and equivalents is primarily a reflection of cash generated from operations, less cash used to finance acquisitions during the first quarter of 2017"


Looking at the Cash Flow Statement: they generated CF-Op of $8M and acquisition cost was $7.5M. Net Debt did go up ~$3M to fund some distribution to non-controlling interest (need to dig more into note 4 for details).


The main point through is CRH earns real cash and finances its acquisitions mainly from its cash flow and not from out of control debt - as the Motley Fool article was suggesting.
Read Answer Asked by Jennifer on April 27, 2017
Q: So last night Motley Fool Canada took down their article from yesterday that was bashing CRH and comparing it to Valeant. Then the author releases a new version of the article that is actually promoting CRH for the most part. I did notice in the original article that they listed Motley Fool (US) as owning the stock which struck me as odd. I wondered why Motley Fool would bash a company, contributing to its decline while its parent company is long the stock. Feels like maybe the author got a big slap on the wrist and was forced to instantly retract the article? Very weird.Would there be any legal implications there, seems like manipulation. They are bashing a stock one day, and pumping it the next.Not that I had any respect for Motley Fool but I've defintitely lost the little I did have for their stock reports.
Read Answer Asked by Adam on April 25, 2017