Q: Hi there,
DMTK I came across DermTech listening to a MF US stock advisor live session on 10X opportunities. I spent some time reviewing their most recent earnings transcript and other research and the technology for non invasive detection of skin cancer seems powerful but super early in terms of adoption (a brief excerpt is below). I am considering buying for TFSA and have the following questions:
1. What is your general opinion?
2. Do you have any information on how a dermatologist would be paid for using this test vs surgery? My fear would be that the tech is amazing but dermatologists may not use it if it would reduce their revenue
"Currently, approximately 25 surgical biopsies are performed to find one melanoma. And despite all this cutting, the negative predictive value of this pathway is only about 83%, which means the probability of missing melanoma is approximately 17%. The PLA reduces the number of surgical biopsies needed to identify melanomas by approximately 10-fold and increases the negative predictive value so 99%, meaning the PLA has less than 1% probability of missing the disease. DermTech is effectively bringing melanoma diagnosis into the 21st century by transforming it from a pathway to subjective, invasive, inaccurate and costly to one that is objective, non-invasive, highly accurate, and less costly."
DMTK I came across DermTech listening to a MF US stock advisor live session on 10X opportunities. I spent some time reviewing their most recent earnings transcript and other research and the technology for non invasive detection of skin cancer seems powerful but super early in terms of adoption (a brief excerpt is below). I am considering buying for TFSA and have the following questions:
1. What is your general opinion?
2. Do you have any information on how a dermatologist would be paid for using this test vs surgery? My fear would be that the tech is amazing but dermatologists may not use it if it would reduce their revenue
"Currently, approximately 25 surgical biopsies are performed to find one melanoma. And despite all this cutting, the negative predictive value of this pathway is only about 83%, which means the probability of missing melanoma is approximately 17%. The PLA reduces the number of surgical biopsies needed to identify melanomas by approximately 10-fold and increases the negative predictive value so 99%, meaning the PLA has less than 1% probability of missing the disease. DermTech is effectively bringing melanoma diagnosis into the 21st century by transforming it from a pathway to subjective, invasive, inaccurate and costly to one that is objective, non-invasive, highly accurate, and less costly."
