Q: According to your people at 5i Research, the fact that a stock is considered to be expensive is not a reason for an investor not to buy it. You have argued that the stock can continue to remain expensive throughout its climb to higher and higher prices. A stock that exemplifies your position is Constellation Software (CSU). On the other hand, Shopify (SHOP) was also considered expensive in its heyday and then declined dramatically in early 2022. What aspect (or aspects) in SHOP’s case made it more vulnerable to a sharp decline compared to CSU?
I ask this because I’m considering buying shares in TransMedics Group (TMDX) which you have described as a high quality business but “expensive on valuation” (August 28, 2024). In your opinion, will TMDX have the same consistent growth curve as CSU or is it more like SHOP and should therefore be considered as having a higher probability of falling off a cliff at some point in near future?
I ask this because I’m considering buying shares in TransMedics Group (TMDX) which you have described as a high quality business but “expensive on valuation” (August 28, 2024). In your opinion, will TMDX have the same consistent growth curve as CSU or is it more like SHOP and should therefore be considered as having a higher probability of falling off a cliff at some point in near future?