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Investment Q&A

Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.

Q: Peter,

Recently I believe you referred to Credit Suisse as being a “basket case” for some time. How would a layman pick up on this type of thing. Please expand.

Thank you

Paul

Read Answer Asked by paul on March 20, 2023
Q: In feb/22 Td made an offer to purchase Fhn (who at THAT time had 55 B in loans and 75B in deposits) for 13 B or $25 a share
At that time U.S. 10 year treasuries were about 40 pts above the 2 year and the U.S. prime rate was 3.25%.
On Mar 17 Fhn was trading at $14.93 down from $21.93 a week ago and the 2 year treasury is now .57pts ABOVE the the 10 year while the U.S. prime rate is now 6.70%
Looks like investors believe Td may back out and or Fhn is losing a lot of deposits.
Meanwhile UBS has made on offer Toi purchase Credit Suisse currently valued at 8 b Euros for 1 B’
Would it not be better for Td to back out of the offer, pay a penalty and use the funds to purchase shares in Charles Schwab at a much lower price then what Td sold them for or offer to purchase Fhn at a much lower price after a NEW risk assessment is done on FHN assets
Read Answer Asked by Terry on March 20, 2023
Q: Good morning
I have never been too concerned about bank failures here in Canada. But the many questions about protecting one’s account has stirred me a bit and made me wonder if i am too complacent. We had our accounts at different institutions but i was happy to consolidate them with just TD. You say the best way to protect one’s self is to make sure non registered accounts are under one million. Is it worth all the trouble to do that? I know that this is quite subjective but i would appreciate your take on it
Thanks as always
Read Answer Asked by joseph on March 20, 2023
Q: With the banking crisis, there is a general feeling that lending will be reduced. Do
you feel that we could be at the start of a broader decline in markets now?
Read Answer Asked by Michael on March 20, 2023
Q: AS A RETIRED AND CONSERVATIVE INCOME INVESTOR I AM CONSIDERING THE PURCHASE OF ZWB IN A TFSA AND WOULD APPRECIATE YOUR OPINION DETAILING THE PROS AND CONS OF SUCH AN INVESTMENT AT THIS TIME.
1.I NOTE IT IS DOWN ABOUT 20% THIS PAST YEAR WITH A PRESENT YIELD OF ABOUT 7/12 PERCENT, IS THIS YIELD NET OF TRADING AND MANAGEMENT FEES?
2.DOES THE ETF WRITE COVERED CALLS ON THE ENTIRE PORTFOLIO?
3.GIVEN THE RECENT DECLINE IN THE BANK SHARES AND THE MARKET IN GENERAL AND WITH A 5YEAR TIME HORIZON, WOULD YOU AGREE THERE IS MINIMAL DOWNSIDE RISK, OTHER THAN GENERAL MARKET RISK,AND
4.WHAT TYPE OF MARKET AND ECONOMIC CONDITIONS LEADS TO AN INCREASE OR DECREASE IN THE PERFORMANCE OF THE ETF.

THANKS BRIAN
Read Answer Asked by Brian on March 17, 2023
Q: I wonder if any of the big six own any US or CAN MBS or CMBS ? Thanks a lot .
Read Answer Asked by Lai Kuen on March 17, 2023
Q: I notice that with it's new FDIC unlimited guarantee SVB is marketing itself as the safest bank for depositors. With an unlimited guarantee, it is equivalent to holding reserves at the central bank. How does the competition respond if their guarantee is limited to $250k, or as is the case in Canada, $100k? How will banking change now that depositors know that they can be made safe/whole by the stroke of a regulators pen? Are we looking at a fundamental change to banking? How should investors position for this?
Your thoughts are appreciated.
Mike
Read Answer Asked by michael on March 17, 2023
Q: With bank failures in the forefront these days would you still consider HISA ETF's safe in this environment? Will the issues in the banking sector affect the NAV prices of these ETF's?
Read Answer Asked by Kyle on March 17, 2023
Q: Earlier I asked if a WSJ article stating "Canada never experienced a bank failure" is true. You replied.

"Not 100% true. The last major bank failure though was 100 years ago, in 1923. In 1985 two very tiny banks failed. In the 1991/92 real estate recession several trust companies failed, but these are not technically banks. "
Thanks for the reply.

Today a column in the Globe & Mail stated "CDIC has handled 43 bank failures since it's creation in 1967."

Just wondering if you could comment if they got that wrong.
Thanks.
Read Answer Asked by Reg on March 17, 2023
Q: Hi 5i - with homeowners attempting to renew mortgages at much higher rates in the next year or two (e.g. going from a 2% fixed rate to 6.5% fixed rate - possible foreclosures, etc), how much risk do you see regarding a housing crash and the resulting risk with Canadian banks? Thanks, Neil
Read Answer Asked by Neil on March 17, 2023