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Investment Q&A

Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.

Q: Hello 5i. I just watched a panel of former U.S. Fed economist, former Regional Bank CIO and Dick Bove, long time bank Analyst discussing US Regional banks on BNN. Their majority opinion is the Fed has lost all credibility with the markets, Bove has a list of 30 US regional banks he thinks are in peril, He thinks the only solution is a very deep recession. After that he sees Canadian banks having a "field day " buying US regional banks at discounts prices.

This is a very brief recap of the discussion and I am not planning to get out of the market, but this growing opinion that the Fed has lost control may cause some to greatly reduce their equity holdings.

I would appreciate your thoughts on this.

Thanks, Mike
Read Answer Asked by Michael on May 09, 2023
Q: One source describes RBC and TD banks as having wide-moats; BNS and CM banks it describes as having narrow-moats.

Do you agree?

Is this something that someone who has a concentrated portfolio should especially heed?

All the best!

R

By the way, I really appreciate all 5i/Cdn $ Svr does. Thank you!
Read Answer Asked by Roderick Jay on May 08, 2023
Q: Hi!
I just read piece about CIX in the Globe here: https://www.theglobeandmail.com/business/article-ci-financial-us-expansion-leave-canada/ .

It is a far from flattering description of CIX (says the CEO is overpaid, and the CEO overpaid for the US businesses, too much debt).

I have a couple of questions.

1) The article said that the CI will delist from the NYSE and be listed only on the TSE,
This seems like a bad development. What do you think?
2) Also, there is the talk about the IPO. Well, what does that exactly mean for share holders (ideally)? Would the IPO lead to a pop in CI's share price?
3) Would it end up being a dilutive transaction?

Maybe I am being pessimistic, but the outlook for CI seems...unprofitable...and I fear the worst (permanent loss of capital).
Read Answer Asked by D on May 05, 2023
Q: What do you see in the medium term for TD? With a dividend approaching 5%, does it not invite investors to jump in? What am I not seeing here? If we get into, or deeper into, an unpleasant recession can you see TD share prices dropping significantly from current levels?

You have regularly note that the big banks have not historically reduced their dividends. If TD share prices do drop, the yields will be alarmingly high. It's been decades since I studied economics and I don't seem to be any smarter. Perhaps you can help.

thanks

al
Read Answer Asked by alex on May 05, 2023
Q: In the wake of turbulence there is often opportunity - is that the case for "brave" and NOT risk averse investors in the regional banks of the US? If so, what key metrics would you use and do you see some larger and safer opportunities within the regional bank space - maybe this could be an article you could write for clients?

Regards
John
Read Answer Asked by John on May 04, 2023