Q: Would you buy CF today if you have a 2 year horizon?
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Investment Q&A
Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.
Q: Question about averaging down or buying on major dips.
I have seen the comments "we don't like averaging down" on a number of occasions.
If I consider a stock like AHF, which I believe you liked when you prepared your report on this company and still like today, what would be wrong with averaging down (assuming we keep our stock weights somewhat in balance and possibly increase our exposure a little bit).
The way I read your Q&A to AHF is:
- The fundamentals have not really changed. In fact, they are possibly better. The focus is on higher margin business.
- The dividend (7%) is secure with good cash flow. (This is a great dividend which we can collect while we wait for the stock to go higher. Not many companies pay 7%.)
As a result:
- If we buy the stock at this price, our risk is greatly reduced. The stock is selling at 70% the price it was recommended at and your opinion of the company has not changed. It is like going to the store and buying stuff on special.
- If the stock goes back to the price it was at when recommended ($1.22), that is 42% upside. If we assume it takes 2 years to do so, that would be a 21% annualized gain, plus about a 7% dividend per year for an annualized gain of 28%. And this assumes the price only goes back to the price it was initially recommended at for purchase.
If averaging down is not a good thing, when fundamentals are same if not better, and our risk of financial loss is lower (as preservation of capital is paramount) and the dividend is exceptional... Then as some people would say, is it not time to back up the truck, is it not the time to be greedy when others are fearful...
And if it is not a good purchase at time price, then should we not get rid of it and move on.
Your valued opinion is greatly appreciated. I've learnt a lot.
Thank You.
I have seen the comments "we don't like averaging down" on a number of occasions.
If I consider a stock like AHF, which I believe you liked when you prepared your report on this company and still like today, what would be wrong with averaging down (assuming we keep our stock weights somewhat in balance and possibly increase our exposure a little bit).
The way I read your Q&A to AHF is:
- The fundamentals have not really changed. In fact, they are possibly better. The focus is on higher margin business.
- The dividend (7%) is secure with good cash flow. (This is a great dividend which we can collect while we wait for the stock to go higher. Not many companies pay 7%.)
As a result:
- If we buy the stock at this price, our risk is greatly reduced. The stock is selling at 70% the price it was recommended at and your opinion of the company has not changed. It is like going to the store and buying stuff on special.
- If the stock goes back to the price it was at when recommended ($1.22), that is 42% upside. If we assume it takes 2 years to do so, that would be a 21% annualized gain, plus about a 7% dividend per year for an annualized gain of 28%. And this assumes the price only goes back to the price it was initially recommended at for purchase.
If averaging down is not a good thing, when fundamentals are same if not better, and our risk of financial loss is lower (as preservation of capital is paramount) and the dividend is exceptional... Then as some people would say, is it not time to back up the truck, is it not the time to be greedy when others are fearful...
And if it is not a good purchase at time price, then should we not get rid of it and move on.
Your valued opinion is greatly appreciated. I've learnt a lot.
Thank You.
Q: Your opinion of CXS results today and future prospects. I'm currently underwater and had hopes of target price going into $3.00 range.
Q: I would like your thoughts on the lastest quarterly results on CXS and with the beat do you see more investors buying this stock thanks.
Q: My investment in Element Financial has NOT proven very rewarding this past year (down a few pennies ) I am interested in growth and would appreciate your advice...,hang in or move on.
Q: Hello Peter & Co.
What is your take on EFN's financial results?
Thanks,
Tony
What is your take on EFN's financial results?
Thanks,
Tony
Q: I should've waited a day to ask about EQI Could you give me some colour on their latest results?
TIA
TIA
Q: Hi Peter I am thinking of adding Bam And BA to my portfolio. Do you have an opinion on these 2. I am a moderate investor with a focus on steady growth
Q: Just a comment on BNS being classified as a "DOG" by G & M.BUY the "DOG" as there is a proven theory that each of the big 6 canadian banks takes its turn to appreciate.They were amongst the World's strongest banks in 2013(with 2012 ranking in bracket): 3)CIBC(3) 4)RY(6) 7)BNS(18) 17)NA(5) 8)TD(4) & BMO(22)
Q: I realize you like both TD and BNS, even though BNS hasn't performed as well the last couple of years. I'm sure you take other considerations into mind, so I'd appreciate hearing which bank you prefer for a 5-10 year hold and why.
Thanks!!!
Thanks!!!
Q: What is your view on Tricon's results for Q3?
Q: In your opinion, would today's news of the Bank of Nova Scotia's raising of 7B$ of any concern? Thank you
Q: I would appreciate your current views on TCAP.
Thanks
Thanks
Q: I have a 25% position in the Canadian banks. I am a long term investor and love their annual, if not twice a year dividend increases. Against this backdrop, I am contemplating adding maybe a 2% to 2.5% position in either EH (EasyHome) or HCG (Home Capital Group). I do not have any Financial Services exposure in my portfolio other than the Canadian banks.
On first blush, I think my 25% in banks plus any other financial services stock may be too much of a concentration in related sectors. However, upon closer inspection, wont companies like HCG/EH act quite a bit differently from the banks, as a rising interest environment would increase bank profit margins and potentially slow HCG and EH's growth?
Acceptable to add either HCG or EH, or is this too much of a concentration in related financial sectors?
Thanks, as always.
John
On first blush, I think my 25% in banks plus any other financial services stock may be too much of a concentration in related sectors. However, upon closer inspection, wont companies like HCG/EH act quite a bit differently from the banks, as a rising interest environment would increase bank profit margins and potentially slow HCG and EH's growth?
Acceptable to add either HCG or EH, or is this too much of a concentration in related financial sectors?
Thanks, as always.
John
Q: Hi. Have you folks looked at ICIC bank. Do you have any suggestions on how to participate in India's possible future growth especially in the financial or technology sectors?
Thank You
Clarence
Thank You
Clarence
Q: EQI is presently plumming for the pits of despair. I can't see it coming back in the remainder of the year. It never was a large position (for me) and I do wish to remain positive and look forward to 2015. Could you give me your outlook on what the future might look like for this stock. I suppose this would have to include the outlook for the industry along with anything else you might think of.
TIA
TIA
Q: Hi. Would you please advise if there is any news that is causing this stock to decline? Is it a hold or a sell? Thanks.
Q: I am watching the sell off in this stock with some interest. I notice it is classified as a consumer cyclical. That has me scratching my head a bit. I was wondering if you had any further comment on the stock and its classification? Is it worth initiating a position at this price?
TIA
TIA
Q: Your opinion please on GS after its latest quarterly results. Is it time to sell and take a profit?
Q: Hi,
Does the fact that Home Capital Trust, a division of HCG. is applying for a bank license provide a decent catalyst for this much beloved company, or is it a bit of a yawn.
Thx
Does the fact that Home Capital Trust, a division of HCG. is applying for a bank license provide a decent catalyst for this much beloved company, or is it a bit of a yawn.
Thx