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Investment Q&A

Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.

Q: Hi 5i,
I'm looking for guidance respecting TVE, which I've owned for quite a long time. I feel my investment is basically near dead money, treading water just to stay afloat - but I freely admit I'm not knowledgeable enough about the O&G world to properly analyze future prospects of a company based on amount and location of reserves, BOE/day etc. etc.
I've read your answers to recent past questions about TVE, and know you think it's a takeover candidate, with the acquirer paying around a30% premium.
CIBC has a target price on the stock of $4.50. Morningstar's fair value is $4.89 and CFRA rates it a strong sell with every criterion it applies being negative, except valuation which it pegs at "neutral". National Bank meanwhile rates it an outperformer with a target of $6.50. So it seems those experts are pretty much all over the map. Meanwhile all I know for a fact from my personal involvement is that TVE has done precious little to reward shareholders either in terms of capital appreciation or dividends (compared to others out there like WCP et al) for quite some time. Even having bought and held since April of 2020 hasn't led to much compared to many others in the sector.
After that longwinded preamble my questions are:
- Am I justified in thinking that the likelihood of meaningful capital appreciation and/or dividend returns in the next year or so is quite remote, and
- Based on your experience what would an acquirer pay for outstanding shares? Would it be the 30% premium you mentioned in a previous answer, so about $4.55/share or have I misunderstood you?
My inclination is to sell and be done with it because I don't see any light at the end of the tunnel except the speculative chance of TVE being acquired and there are lots better places to put one's TFSA money.
I would sure appreciate your thoughts.
Thanks,
Peter
Read Answer Asked by Peter on March 05, 2024
Q: Hi, could you please compare these two companies. I own Bip.un , thinking of selling for cpx . I feel Bip.un is stagnant with little catalyst going forward. ( quite a bad chart). If I switch to cpx my rationale is to try and capitalize on the electrification that is going on?
Which of these two companies would you rather have for the next 4 years?
Thanks
Read Answer Asked by Brad on March 04, 2024
Q: Can you suggest US companies with safe, high dividends? Other than Financial or Energy. I'm considering GIS but am open to other ideas. thank you
Read Answer Asked by alex on March 04, 2024
Q: I'm looking at BIP and BEP primarily for dividend reliability and some growth. According to Morningstar, they both have very low return on assets (somewhat understandable given that they are very asset heavy) but also return on equity.

Normally, that would be enough for me to avoid the stock but they are both generally well thought of by analysts. What am I missing?

Thanks
Peter
Read Answer Asked by Peter on February 29, 2024
Q: BEPC has only gone down long term, including recently during a rising market. Yet analyst targets and fair value assessments range from $39-$46. The yield is approaching 6% and I would expect it to provide a floor for the stock soon. How safe is the dividend? Would you be averaging down at these levels if you had taken a small position at higher (mid-$40’s) levels?
Read Answer Asked by Paul on February 29, 2024
Q: G'morning 5i,

I'm sitting on a fairly substantial loss on GXE in my TFSA. In trying to decide what to do, I first waited for the strategic review to complete, hoping that something positive would come of that. When it didn't, I next decided to wait for its latest earnings report, hoping for something positive there but, from my review of the numbers and despite management's rosy outlook, I don't see anything re-assuring there. either.
My inclination is to sell, take the loss and do something useful with the now severely diminished funds.
Occasionally in the past when I've made that decision with a losing investment, hindsight has caused me to regret it, and I think perhaps I should have been alert to signs that a turnaround was in the offing.
From your objective perch do you see any reason to hold GXE given the milquetoast strategic review and what I interpret to be the less than satisfactory recent earnings report?
I look forward to your thoughts. Thank you.
Peter

Read Answer Asked by Peter on February 28, 2024