Q: Hello. The other day, a friend of mine told me he will be retiring soon but because he doesn't have sufficient income, he is planning to refinance a $300,000 mortgage on his fully paid principal residence and invest that amount in Canadian large cap dividend stocks.
The difference between the 5 years fixed mortgage rate (1.6%) and the dividend he earns from stocks (6%) will be around 4.5%. $300,000 x 4.5%= $13,500/ annum. Given that dividend stocks such as Enbridge, TD, BCE, some REITs are quite depressed at the moment, there is also the possibility of capital gains as well.
I wonder about the risks of such an action. The 2 worst scenarios I can think are that (1) The pandemic will linger for many years and stocks will not recover for a decade or longer (esp. stocks like O&G stocks like Enbridge). It may force even the largest institutions to stop paying their dividends. (2) As a result of the financial hardship and further stock market crash, there will be capital loss at the end of the 5 years mortgage term. Besides these two scenarios, are there any risks that you can think of?
Supplementary questions:
1) Do you think the risks are higher than the reward?
2) Is the current market condition at this moment a good time to do something like this?
3) Lastly, if I were to do something like this, please suggest several price depressed large cap stocks that you think their dividends could be reasonably secured through 2021.
The answer may take you longer than necessary. Please deduct as many points as you wish. Thanks!
The difference between the 5 years fixed mortgage rate (1.6%) and the dividend he earns from stocks (6%) will be around 4.5%. $300,000 x 4.5%= $13,500/ annum. Given that dividend stocks such as Enbridge, TD, BCE, some REITs are quite depressed at the moment, there is also the possibility of capital gains as well.
I wonder about the risks of such an action. The 2 worst scenarios I can think are that (1) The pandemic will linger for many years and stocks will not recover for a decade or longer (esp. stocks like O&G stocks like Enbridge). It may force even the largest institutions to stop paying their dividends. (2) As a result of the financial hardship and further stock market crash, there will be capital loss at the end of the 5 years mortgage term. Besides these two scenarios, are there any risks that you can think of?
Supplementary questions:
1) Do you think the risks are higher than the reward?
2) Is the current market condition at this moment a good time to do something like this?
3) Lastly, if I were to do something like this, please suggest several price depressed large cap stocks that you think their dividends could be reasonably secured through 2021.
The answer may take you longer than necessary. Please deduct as many points as you wish. Thanks!
