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Investment Q&A

Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.

Q: Peter, it is my understanding that all three of these companies now have very low debt. They also have a very low p.e. They also have a very long reserve life. Is it true that renewable energy is many years away from being a viable solution for energy for the world? The share price for renewables has certainly shown that. ie. RNW Algonquin.
Is this huge drop in these energy companies due to the no more piplelines and no case for LGN, the Trudeau effect. Are these three companies still overpriced?? What would be a good entry point?? Is not a 9.5% div on Peyto the same as a 12% GIC after tax is calculated?? I would like your opinion on these questions Thanks Ken
Read Answer Asked by Ken on December 19, 2022
Q: Hi 5i
I think Peter has been around long enough to remember December 1999 when TRP cut its dividend from 1.20 to .80 and the stock tanked to under $10. More recently ALA made a deal to buy WGL and issued shares at $31 ( I think Caisse depot or other big guys were in for $400 million). ALA went down to around $11 and recoverd to over $28 recently. So my question is: do you see any similarities to TRP or ALA turnarounds to think that AQN ($9.50) could follow a similar chart?
Thanks, Greg
Read Answer Asked by Greg on December 19, 2022
Q: Do I have this straight ? As a ( Canadian ) holder of these two non American ( Bermuda )stocks, effective January 1/23, when I sell them, I will be subject to a 10% withholding tax and will be required to file a US tax return ?

WOW !
Read Answer Asked by Derek on December 19, 2022
Q: I have held these 2 stocks for a long while, but I am getting the impression that it is really hard to make a living in the senior-residential-retirement services. I am thinking on : a) sell one and reinvest in the proceeds in the other , b) sell both and buy instead a dividend payment large cap. (i.e. BNS, ENB) . If a) which one would you recommend to sell , if b) Does this move make sense ? thanks . note : I have plenty of other REITs in my portfolio.
Read Answer Asked by Alejandro (Alex) on December 16, 2022
Q: My two underperforming energy E&P stocks are CNE and PXT. Both seem restrained by their activity in Columbia, with the hostile new prez and increased taxation. What I think I know is as follows:

CNE is primarily nat gas, provides decent production reports and projections and is working to supply more regions via a pipeline project, paid for by and built by a Chinese partner, and scheduled for operation by 2024. CNE has more debt than peers, but largely at a fixed rate until 2028. Notwithstanding that they trade at 1.52XCF, yield >10%, have reduced their share count steadily through modest buy-backs and have optimistic guidance, the stock has steadily fallen to the point that I’m now down 43%! Thus, I could exploit a loss.

I’m still up somewhat on Parex, which has great financials and outlook, and seems widely loved by analysts, though this is not reflected in the recent price action. Parex is primarily oil, but in their most recent report, they note Columbia’s growing demand for nat gas and say that they plan to do more in that direction – supporting what Canacol has said. I have a modest gain on Parex, though the stock has performed poorly relative to its Canadian-based peers – thus no tax loss to be harvested, and delaying a sale until after tax loss season could be contemplated.

Am I missing something about one or both of these companies, or are they just mispriced? Sell CNE now and PXT later, or hold on?
Read Answer Asked by don on December 16, 2022
Q: "Is there a Canadian équivalent ETF ,or close to it,to this excellent sélection approach and choice of Cies like this US ETF?"
Sorry to repeat the question..
Concerning this recent question,I meant : a CDN ETF composed of Canadian stocks only,since the selection method of US stocks for SCHD is excellent,I wonder if there is a best Canadian ETF equivalent for CDN stocks
Read Answer Asked by Jean-Yves on December 15, 2022
Q: Hi Peter

There was news today that TC energy's spills have become more intense in the past decade. Is it possible this report may result in some serious repercussions for the company?
It has been many days since the recent spill and yet the root cause has not been identified.
Is there a quality issue with TC energy?
Overall, is it safe to continue holding TC stock ?
Read Answer Asked by Greyhair on December 14, 2022
Q: Hi Peter, Ryan, and 5i Team,

More comments, a question, and a link regarding Algonquin and some historical relevance!

AQN was held in my wife's RRIF and daughter-in-law's RRSP. My feeling is that AQN will be in the 'penalty box' for quite some time, and the share price will settle around $10.00 or less. Since they're both conservative investors, I switched them to Fortis FTS, which they already held in their respective accounts. It was an easy decision. Do you agree with the thinking here?

AQN was also held in our son's TFSA, but he needed the funds recently for a house purchase. I was fortunate to sell it at around $16.00.

I didn't act soon enough with the two other accounts holding AQN for several reasons. Living in Oakville, where AQN's headquarters is located, resulted in "home town bias" - a mistake in retrospect, because I never felt comfortable with its acquisition of Kentucky Power. It was too expensive, and too much debt was taken on by Algonquin.

Finally, here's a link from 'Seeking Alpha' which outlines the fate that AQN may face when compared to a similar ill-fated and debt-ridden mistake made by AltaGas when they bought WGN. It's taken them a long time to correct their mistake, and I suspect that AQN's mistake will have similar consequences.

https://seekingalpha.com/article/4563884-altagas-vs-algonquin-discounted-utilities-with-ominous-similarities?mailingid=29958270&messageid=must_reads&serial=29958270.150190&utm_campaign=Must%2BReads%2BDecember%2B12%2C%2B2022&utm_content=seeking_alpha&utm_medium=email&utm_source=seeking_alpha&utm_term=must_reads

Thanks for your continued guidance!
Read Answer Asked by Jerry on December 14, 2022