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  5. TFII: Thoughts on recent earning. [TFI International Inc.]
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Q: Thoughts on recent earning. Down already over 30 percent this year, I’m wondering if it’s time to get out and search new opportunities. The tariff treat remains and economic downturn risk remains. What are your views on holder or exiting this position for other opportunities.
Asked by Gerry on April 24, 2025
5i Research Answer:

EPS of 76c missed estimates of 94c; Revenue of $1.96B missed estimates of $2.04B. EBITDA of $259M missed estimates of $279M. It was a tough quarter, but following its prior disaster quarter and tariff uncertainty it should not be a huge surprise. Business has slowed. Revenue was up 4.8% but profits fell sharply. Truckload remains a highlight with 67% growth but all other divisions declined. EBITDA fell 3.5%. The company is in good financial shape and is focused: free cash flow actually rose in the quarter. Consensus still calls for growth this year and next. Any tariff relief would be very positive for the stock. The stock is cheap and has survived many recessions before. The dividend is decent at 2.4%. All-in, we would keep it a HOLD, but only for an investor with at least 3 years. It could drift lower, certainly, and remains of course highly sensistive to the economy. But it also has very good leverage if sentiment or economic or tariff conditions change. We would also be OK with a tax-loss/re-buy plan: the stock likely won't do much in 30 days after this quarter.