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  5. ATD: Thoughts on the quarter please? [Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc.]
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Q: Thoughts on the quarter please?

Thx
Asked by blake on March 19, 2025
5i Research Answer:

EPS of 68c matched estimates; sales of $20.90B missed estimates of $21.21B. EBITDA of $1.64B beat estimates by 3%. Supply-chain optimization could let Couche-Tard maintain fuel profitability across its key markets for the rest of the fiscal year. US fuel margins declined sequentially (down 3.9%), but increased 2.5% compared with last year, an inflection point for the metric. If the company can keep this cadence of growth for 4Q, it's likely that US fuel margins may remain around mid-40 cents per gallon for the year.  Canada might remain in the low-teen cents and high-single digits in Europe. Better control management allowed US inside-the-store margins to expand. As for M&A, recent acquisitions seem to remain on track, with the company reiterating its ambition for a friendly merger with Seven & i now that the possibility of a management buyout is gone. The stock is up, but this is likely more due to ongoing discussions with Seven & i rather than the quarter. But we are comfortable with the results.