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  5. ARE: Can you comment on the quarter and is the sell off warranted? [Aecon Group Inc.]
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Q: Can you comment on the quarter and is the sell off warranted?
Asked by fwb181 on March 07, 2025
5i Research Answer:

EPS of 25c missed estimates of 40c; revenue of $1.26B beat estimates of $1.19B. EBITDA of $76.3M missed estimates by 8%. Revenue rose 12%. EPS doubled year over year. ARE said revenue 'will be stronger in 2025'. The stock did get a downgrade on the miss. Considering the already-low valuation, the 16% decline seems overdone, but it is that type of a 'shoot first' market. It is hardly alone in a big decline this week. Backlog is $6.7B, up $500M from the prior year. It is a small cap company with economic risk in a very bad market. It also screwed up last year with a loss on the Skyport sale. Investors are getting tired of the 'bombs' going off on a regular basis. We think in this environment buyers do not need to be in a rush to accumulate. That being said, it was a takeover target once before and this is always a possibility if the shares stay weak.