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  5. SHOP: Can you provide comments on just released results. [Shopify Inc. Class A Subordinate Voting Shares]
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Q: Can you provide comments on just released results. They appear ok but pre market SHOP is down sharply. Did results meet your expectations? How do you see stock performance going forward?
Asked on February 11, 2025
5i Research Answer:

EPS of 44c beat estimates of 43c; revenue of $2.81B beat estimates of $2.73B. Cash flow margin rose to 22% and sales rose 31%. The quarter itself was fine, but not a blow out vs expectations. The company did guide for lower free cash flow margins in the next quarter, and this is the main reason for the decline today so far. But it still predicts 'mid 20% growth' for the year. It also notes the Q1 is the seasonally weakest quarter. The stock is up 41% in the past year prior to today so the usual 'sell on news' and profit takers will be active.  We might expect a hit by day's end but the company might be being conservative with its forecast, and we hardly think this is a weak forecast overall. With lots of cash and growth expected, we would expect the stock to recover from today's decline over time.