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  5. CCO: Is Russia restricting (or banning) exports of enriched uranium to NATO countries? [Cameco Corporation]
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Q: Is Russia restricting (or banning) exports of enriched uranium to NATO countries? Do you know if Kazakhstan is also restricting exports since they are the world's top exporter and a client state of Russia. Russia produces uranium at roughly 10% of the amount produced by Kazakhstan. I understand CCO purchases uranium from Kazakhstan. Is this a good time to purchase CCO or would you wait until Trump enters the White House? If Trump accedes to Putin's demands possibly the uranium restrictions would be lifted leading to weakness in CCO's stock? I do find it hard to imagine NATO countries returning to their pre-war acceptance of Russia and its exports in spite of any Trump Putin peace deal. Any thoughts you have would be appreciated.
Regards,
Jim
Asked by James on November 22, 2024
5i Research Answer:

Right now, uranium shipments from Russia are 'stalled' after Russia pulled the export licence for a company that ships to the US. We agree that tensions are likely to remain. Russia accounts for 40% of global supply. The US 'technically' banned Russia uranium this year, but has been lax on monitoring (likely on purpose). CCO has a joint venture with a Kazkhstan company. The Kazkstan has had some production issues and curtailments. However, we are not so sure CCO would be material impacted because the country's issues may simply cause global prices to rise further, and CCO benefits from that. It has hedges, though, and often needs to buy in the market to meet these. This is a general negative to CCO and investors don't like the hedges of course when prices are rising. All in, we think the global trend to nuclear will outweigh the political issues, which could (maybe) be short term. In other words, if an investor wants sector exposure we would remain comfortable buying CCO.