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  5. CMG: Between Restaurant Brands QSR and Chipotle CMG , which stock do you think will have higher share price appreciation over the next two years and why ? [Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.]
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Q: Between Restaurant Brands QSR and Chipotle CMG , which stock do you think will have higher share price appreciation over the next two years and why ?

Thanks, Tim.
Asked by tim on June 10, 2024
5i Research Answer:

It’s a tough call, as both are high-quality restaurant businesses pursuing different approaches to growth. While QSR operates as a franchisor which is more capital-light, CMG owns their own store which requires more investment over the years. That said, the market highly values CMG’s business model, putting a premium multiple of more than 50x Forward P/E. We think QSR should do better 5 years from now given the discount valuation and also the relatively attractive growth prospects.