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  5. BCE: I never thought I would be contemplating whether or not to continue to hold these “sleep at night stocks” but here we are. [BCE Inc.]
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Q: I never thought I would be contemplating whether or not to continue to hold these “sleep at night stocks” but here we are. I have no doubt they will recover but in what timeframe? I am particularly concerned about TD. I believe regulators are going to set an example. I am 75 years old and time is at a premium. Please give me some guidance.

Carl

Asked by Carl on May 22, 2024
5i Research Answer:

Whenever a company gets intense media scrutiny (good or bad) its stock price tends to overreact. For TD, it has lost about $8.5 billion in market value by the money laundering issue. It is now 9X earnings. Yes, it might be made an example. But this is not known and is speculation, and also one does not know what the market reaction will be on more news, either. Going from US banks that got themselves in regulatory trouble, they paid a (large) fine and simply carried on. We 'expect' that to be the case here, but of course could be wrong on that call. Sometimes investigations take a long time. In the interim, strong earnings or lower rates could still help the stock. We might expect it to be in the penalty box three months or so, and perhaps six months 'after' it gets its punishment. The other stocks in the question have been recently discussed in the Q&A. News is not great, certainly, but most likely priced in to very low valuations across the board. We do not believe any of these dividends are at any real risk.