Q: What do you think of TXP's most recent results and prospects going forward.
5i Research Answer:
Q1 production was 7,015 b/d (80% gas), up 80% from the prior year period. Production fell 18% largely due to natural depletion. Cash flow was $6.1M vs $10.5M on the production decline but also due to lower prices. Debt fell, but is still $27.6M, about 1X cash flow annualized. Bloomberg does not show quarterly estimates even with five analysts following the stock. The Trinity acquisition is proceeding but it is relatively small, representing about 14% of TXP's market cap. The stock is very cheap at 7X earnings, but there is size risk here in addition to typical sector risks. It is expected to show 30%+ growth next year, but will need gas prices to co-operate to achieve this.