Q: G'morning 5i,
I'm sitting on a fairly substantial loss on GXE in my TFSA. In trying to decide what to do, I first waited for the strategic review to complete, hoping that something positive would come of that. When it didn't, I next decided to wait for its latest earnings report, hoping for something positive there but, from my review of the numbers and despite management's rosy outlook, I don't see anything re-assuring there. either.
My inclination is to sell, take the loss and do something useful with the now severely diminished funds.
Occasionally in the past when I've made that decision with a losing investment, hindsight has caused me to regret it, and I think perhaps I should have been alert to signs that a turnaround was in the offing.
From your objective perch do you see any reason to hold GXE given the milquetoast strategic review and what I interpret to be the less than satisfactory recent earnings report?
I look forward to your thoughts. Thank you.
Peter
I'm sitting on a fairly substantial loss on GXE in my TFSA. In trying to decide what to do, I first waited for the strategic review to complete, hoping that something positive would come of that. When it didn't, I next decided to wait for its latest earnings report, hoping for something positive there but, from my review of the numbers and despite management's rosy outlook, I don't see anything re-assuring there. either.
My inclination is to sell, take the loss and do something useful with the now severely diminished funds.
Occasionally in the past when I've made that decision with a losing investment, hindsight has caused me to regret it, and I think perhaps I should have been alert to signs that a turnaround was in the offing.
From your objective perch do you see any reason to hold GXE given the milquetoast strategic review and what I interpret to be the less than satisfactory recent earnings report?
I look forward to your thoughts. Thank you.
Peter
5i Research Answer:
The stock is cheap, and the balance sheet is fine, and it is not without potential. It still pays its (lowered) dividend. It is buying back stock. We would not consider it a disaster, but it is a small company, in a struggling sector, with negative momentum, and annoyed investors (no sale and the dividend cut). The numbers are not hugely reassuring. But a sector rally would likely still move it nicely. It is up 3% YTD despite all the news. We think we would 'target' it for a sale as new ideas show up--i.e. use it a source of cash. But we do not think a sale has to be rushed, immediate, or full. Depending on one's risk profile, a small position could still be kept.