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  5. NBLY: Hi 5i Team - In an answer to a question on Sept. [Neighbourly Pharmacy Inc.]
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Investment Q&A

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Q: Hi 5i Team - In an answer to a question on Sept. 27 you mentioned that Neighbourly had a growing balance sheet, good forward sales and earnings and solid fundamentals with a cautionary note that it was not yet profitable and needed to become so. At that time it traded around $12.50. It seemed to have a lot of potential back then before the offer. If the offer falls through completely and it returned to around that price level would it not still have good potential and be worth buying for a mid to long term hold. Would the same theory hold for today's price of around $15. Also what is your opinion of management. Thanks.
Asked by Rob on December 20, 2023
5i Research Answer:

The company has only been public for 30 months, so management is still on probation, at least publicly. The recent privatization 'flip flop' certainly docks them some points. And, having gone public at $17 and then (proposed) private at $18.50 doesn't make that much business sense to us. BUT...management likely sees the potential for the future moreso than investors, and we can't blame them for trying to take advantage of the low price in the market if prospects are so good. It leaves a bad taste, sure, but that's business. In a failed deal we would expect the stock to drop to the $14 range. The difference vs prior is due to the much improved market/rate backdrop. It will still have potential from there, certainly, but it is sometimes difficult for shareholders to support a management team that clearly 'wants to go private'. Thus, we would not expect a huge uptick in valuation multiples, but it could still do well with organic growth and acquisitions.