5i Stock Screener: Canadian small-cap companies that have seen a significant upward revision in earnings

Michael Huynh Apr 09, 2024
Headline image for 5i Stock Screener: Canadian small-cap companies that have seen a significant upward revision in earnings

With the expectation that inflation has already peaked and central banks globally will start cutting rates this year, businesses will likely have a better time to achieve growth in the near term. Coming out of the economic slowdown recently, some companies are expected to recover stronger than others due to different financial profiles. For example, as the benefit of cost control initiatives in recent years will start to be realized, accelerating topline growth would help these companies generate healthy profitability. Some highly leveraged companies in terms of operational and financial leverage tend to do better due to their higher degree of fixed costs (depreciation, interest expense, stock-based compensation, etc.) compared to peers. 

As a result, with this expectation, analysts have adjusted an upward revision on companies with positive reflection in earnings in the near term. Although some of these improvements are already priced into the current share price. The degree of outperformance is quite hard to predict and analysts tend to be more conservative in their assumptions. Therefore, a better-than-expected acceleration in Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBIT) can have positive impacts on companies’ share price performance over the next three to five years.

Below we have screened for companies with the following criteria:

  • Market cap larger than $50 million
  • Return on equity of at least 0%
  • An upward revision in Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBIT) of at least 20%

Here is the screener:

Ticker Name Last Price Market Cap Country EBIT Est Avg Rev % (FY3E - 1Y) Return On Equity % (LTM)
SHOP Shopify Inc. 74.61 $96.1B CA 185.4% 1.5%  
DCBO Docebo Inc. 65.43 $1.5B CA 75.9% 2.3%  
CCO Cameco Corporation 65.65 $21.0B CA 70.2% 6.1%  
BYD Boyd Group Services Inc. 277.66 $4.4B CA 57.3% 11.0%  
TECKB Teck Resources Limited 63.51 $24.2B CA 53.7% 8.5%  
ARX ARC Resources Ltd. 25.91 $11.4B CA 51.2% 22.7%  
AFN Ag Growth International Inc. 61.23 $856M CA 49.8% 23.6%  
EQX Equinox Gold Corp. 8.44 $2.0B CA 39.0% 1.2%  
DPM Dundee Precious Metals Inc. 10.5 $1.4B CA 38.7% 17.2%  
HME Hemisphere Energy Corporation 1.67 $121M CA 26.8% 41.1%  
CNQ Canadian Natural Resources Limited 109.04 $86.0B CA 24.3% 21.1%  
IPCO International Petroleum Corporation 16.95 $1.6B CA 22.0% 16.9%  
AGFB AGF Management Limited 8.5 $406M CA 19.5% 9.4%  

 

The criteria for the screen are quite simple as we screen companies that are over $100 million since these companies have had decent operating track records for investors to evaluate, and their trading volume is meaningful enough for investors to acquire a decent position in their portfolio.  Secondly, we screen for companies with a Return on Equity of at least 0% on a trailing-twelve-month basis, as we think these criteria tend to filter out highly cyclical, unprofitable companies that experience a short-term hiccup in their earnings.

Lastly, we look for companies that have a significant upward adjustment of at least 20% improvement in EBIT from analysts, because we think this is a meaningful revision which could potentially offer interesting optionality for investors. Some of these names could experience a tailwind due to the up cycle, we think investors are better off sticking with businesses that have secular demand for their products and services.

The screener came up with 13 names, members will recognize some of the names that we cover in our Model Portfolios and coverage lists such as Shopify (SHOP), Boyd Group Services (BYD) and Docebo (DCBO). Some of which we have been a huge fan of over the years.

Again, these companies on the list are not recommendations but a starting point that helps investors generate potential investment ideas and strategies. Investors can view our previous screener blog here

 

Unlock the Power of Informed Investing with 5i Research!

DIY investing doesn't have to mean going it alone. At 5i Research, we're your trusted partner in navigating the stock market. Our platform offers comprehensive stock and market research, empowering you to make smart investment decisions. 

  • Investor Q&A: Have burning questions? Get answers from our team of experts and fellow investors in our dedicated Q&A section.
  • Research Reports: With over 60 meticulously researched Canadian stocks, our reports offer in-depth analysis, giving you the confidence to invest wisely. 
  • Model Portfolios, Alerts, Forums, Portfolio Tracking, and Much More...

 


Take Care,

Michael Signature

 

Disclosure: The analyst(s) responsible for this report do not have a financial or other interest in the securities mentioned.

 

0 comments

Comments

Login to post a comment.

No comments have been posted yet.